摘要
本文基于2009~2018年中国31个省级行政单位的面板数据,采用固定效应模型和门限回归模型,实证探究了金融集聚对产业结构升级的非线性影响。研究发现:金融集聚水平的提升显著的促进了我国产业结构升级,但这种促进作用具有理论上的倒“U”型作用关系以及门限效应,实际呈现出正向且边际递减规律。同时,这种非线性特征还在东、中、西部地区之间表现出明显的区域差异,在东部和中部地区,金融集聚对产业结构升级的促进作用随金融集聚水平的提升而边际递减;在西部地区,二者却呈现出了边际递增的作用规律,这与我国地区金融集聚水平差异较大不无关系。总之,现阶段我国金融集聚尚未达到最优集聚水平,仍存在一定的提升空间来促进产业结构升级。
Based on the panel data of 31 provincial administrative units in China from 2009 to 2018,this paper empirically analyzes the non-linear effects of financial agglomeration on the upgrading of industrial structure by using fixed effect model and the threshold regression.The study finds that the improvement of the level of financial concentration can significantly promote the upgrading of industrial structure,but this promotion has the non-linear characteristics of the theoretical“U”-type relationship and double threshold effect.At the same time,this non-linear characteristic also shows significant differences between the eastern,central and western regions.In the eastern and central regions,the promotion of financial agglomeration to industrial structure upgrading decreases marginally with the increase of financial agglomeration level,while in the western region,the two show a margi-nal increase phenomenon.In general,at this stage,China's financial agglomeration has not yet reached the optimal statement,there still exist headroom to promote the upgrading of industrial structure.
作者
王一乔
赵鑫
杨守云
Wang Yiqiao;Zhao Xin;Yang Shouyun(School of Economics and Management,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,China)
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第5期135-143,共9页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金“物流产业智慧化绩效生成机理与智慧物流体系构建对策研究”(项目编号:18BJY180)
政府委托项目“吉林省战略性新兴产业(通航产业)创新发展及其路径研究”(项目编号:S2016001)
山东省社会科学基金“山东省现代农业PPP投融资机制构建及支持政策研究”(项目编号:18DJJJ19)。
关键词
金融集聚
产业结构升级
非线性关系
面板门限模型
区域差异
固定效应模型
financial agglomeration
industrial structure upgrading
non-linear relationship
panel threshold model
area differentiation
fixed effect model
