摘要
利用我国17个玉米主产区省份2005~2017年面板数据,实证分析政策性玉米价格对我国农民收入的影响,评价国家价补分离政策的实施效果。研究结果发现,玉米综合收入补贴政策、临储收购政策、价补分离政策下,玉米价格对农民收入的促进作用逐渐减小,玉米生产率对农民收入的促进作用越来越大,玉米土地规模对农民收入有差异性影响,城镇化率对农民收入的促进作用越来越大,城乡收入比对农民收入的抑制作用越来越小,消费物价水平对农民收入的抑制作用逐渐增大。从价补分离政策实施效果看,显著地促进了农民收入,推进了种植结构调整,增加了农民种粮积极性。提出引导农民种粮积极性,增加农民转移性收入,调整种植结构,适度开展规模经营,建立有效物价调节机制,加强市场动态调控力度,建设对称信息服务体系的政策建议。
By using panel data of 17 major corn-producing regions in China from 2005 to 2017, this paper empirically analyzed the impact of policy corn prices on Chinese farmers’ income, and the implementation effect of the price-separation policy was also evaluated. The results showed that, under the policies of corn comprehensive income subsidy, temporary reserve purchase, and price-separation, the promotion effect of corn price on farmers’ income was gradually reduced, and the effect of corn productivity on farmers’ income was increasing. The scale of corn land had different effects on farmers’ income, the urbanization rate had played a greater role in promoting farmers’ income, the urban-rural income ratio had a less and less restraining effect on farmers’ income, the restraint effect of consumer prices on farmers’ income had gradually increased. Judging from the effect of the implementation of the price-separation policy, it had significantly boosted farmers’ income, promoted the adjustment of planting structure, increased farmers’ enthusiasm for growing grain. Finally, this article put forward some suggestions: to guide farmers’ enthusiasm for growing grain, increase farmers’ transferable income, adjust the planting structure,conduct moderate scale operations, establish effective price adjustment mechanisms, strengthen market dynamic regulation and control, and establish a symmetrical information service system.
作者
曾智
何蒲明
ZENG Zhi;HE Pu-ming(Hubei Rural Development Research Center,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434023;Hubei Collaborative Innovation Center for Industrialization of Major Grain Crops,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434025,China)
出处
《玉米科学》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第2期184-190,共7页
Journal of Maize Sciences
基金
国家社科基金“以生态安全和粮食安全并重为导向的粮食补贴政策研究”(17BGL250)。