摘要
基于中国"一带一路"倡议深入实施以及企业"走出去"战略扎实推进的背景,构建了贸易成本、OFDI与出口贸易关系的理论模型,论述了贸易成本和OFDI对出口贸易的影响机制,据以提出研究假设并进行了实证检验。结果表明:总体上,中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的OFDI与出口贸易存在积极的互补效应,贸易成本会显著抑制中国对沿线国家的出口,同时OFDI与贸易成本都显示出"商品属性偏好"的特点,即随着商品价值的提高,两者对出口的影响增强。进一步分析发现:中国OFDI与初级、劳动密集型和资本密集型产品的出口均表现出互补效应,贸易成本对初级和劳动密集型产品的出口的抑制效应较高,且会显著抑制这两类产品OFDI的出口创造效应;中国对中低和中高收入国家的OFDI与出口呈现互补效应,而在高收入国家中呈现替代效应但不显著,贸易成本对出口的影响存在国别收入差异性,贸易成本仅能显著抑制对中低收入国家OFDI的出口创造效应。
Based on the in-depth implementation of China’s“the Belt and Road”initiative and in the context of the solid promotion of enterprises’“going global”strategy,this paper constructs a theoretical model of the relationship between trade cost,OFDI and export trade to discuss the influence mechanism of trade cost and OFDI on export trade,on this basis,it further puts forward the research hypothesis and conducts an empirical test.The results show that,on the whole,China’s OFDI and export trade with the countries along the“the Belt and Road”route have a positive complementary effect,and the trade cost will significantly inhibit China’s export to the countries along the route.At the same time,both OFDI and trade cost show the characteristics of“preference for commodity attributes”,that is,with the increase of commodity value,the influence of the two on export will increase.The findings of further analysis indicate that China’s OFDI has a complementary effect with the export of primary,labor-intensive and capital-intensive products.The export inhibition effect of trade cost on primary and labor-intensive products is relatively higher,and the export creation effect of the OFDI of these two types of products will be significantly inhibited.China’s OFDI and export have a complementary effect on the countries with lower middle and upper middle incomes,while in the countries with higher incomes,a substitution effect is found but not significant.The impact of trade costs on exports varies according to national income,and the trade cost can merely significantly restrain the export creation effect of OFDI in middle-and low-income countries.
作者
程显宏
李豫新
邹宗森
CHENG Xian-hong;LI Yu-xin;ZOU Zong-sen(Shihezi University,Shihezi 832003;Qufu Normal University,Rizhao 276826,China)
出处
《当代财经》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第9期114-126,共13页
Contemporary Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“丝绸之路经济带框架下中国新疆与中亚国家工业产能合作研究”(16CJY033)。
