摘要
党中央提出逐步形成以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局,以“新发展格局”应对“新变局”的发展新思路。在构建新发展格局的大背景下,如何进一步开展中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的经贸合作,通过分工合作、互利共赢推进共建“一带一路”走深走实。本文采用中国与“一带一路”沿线64个国家2007—2017年的贸易数据,运用随机前沿引力模型和贸易非效率模型,对中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的贸易潜力、贸易效率以及影响贸易效率的因素进行分析,提出在新发展格局背景下进一步推进中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易的相关政策建议。
Recently,the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has urged the country to accelerate the establishment of a“dual circulation”development pattern in which domestic economic cycle plays a leading role while international economic cycle remains its extension and supplement.The new“dual circulation”development pattern responds to the“new changes”with new ideas for development.Under the backdrop of the“dual circulation”development pattern,how to further develop the economy and trade between China and the countries along the“Belt and Road”and make greater contributions to the new development pattern in the new era become a crucial topic.This paper adopts the 2007—2017 trade data between China and 64 countries along the“Belt and Road”,using stochastic frontier gravity model and the trade inefficiency model to analyze the trade potential,trade efficiency and factors affecting trade efficiency between China and countries along the“Belt and Road”.Through a comprehensive and systematic analysis,this paper puts forward policy recommendations for further development of the trade between China and the countries along the“Belt and Road”in the background of a“dual circulation”development pattern.
作者
李博英
LI Bo-ying(School of Political Science & International Relations, Institute for China and World Studies, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)
出处
《西北大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第6期115-126,共12页
Journal of Northwest University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition
基金
上海市教育发展基金会和上海市教育委员会“晨光计划”项目(19CG24)
上海市哲学社会科学规划青年课题项目(2019EJB001)的阶段性成果。
关键词
新发展格局
国内国际双循环
共建“一带一路”倡议
高质量发展
new development pattern
dual circulation
co-constructing“Belt and Road”Initiative
high-quality development
