摘要
经济新常态下,中国经济已转向高质量发展,促进经济高质量发展成为实现中国社会主要矛盾变化的战略路径。基于高质量发展的内涵,建立测度高质量发展水平的评价指标体系,采用中国31个省份面板数据,依托GPCA模型研究了各省份高质量发展的动态趋势、发展指数排名及其变化;同时,采用K-均值聚类方法,进行了梯度划分和空间格局衍化分析。研究结果表明:2000—2017年中国东部地区、中部地区、西部地区各省份高质量发展水平均有所提升,但东部地区提升幅度更大;与2000年相比,2017年东部地区高质量发展评价指数排名依然较高,而中部地区、西部省区高质量发展评价指数排名相对较低,高质量发展水平依然呈现出区域不平衡的态势,而且中国高质量发展存在“东高西低”的空间分布特征,呈现“东部地区-中部地区-西部地区”依次梯度递减态势。
Under the new normal of the economy,China’s economy has shifted to a high-quality development stage,and promoting high-quality economic development has become a strategic path to realize the change of the principal contradiction in China’s society.Based on the connotation of high-quality development,an evaluation index system of high-quality development is constructed by applying provincial panel data and Generalized Principle Component Analysis(GPCA)model to analyze dynamic trend,index ranking and its changes over years of every province.Besides,K-means clustering method is adopted to perform gradient division and spatial patterns derived analysis.The results show that high-quality development of every province improved from 2000 to 2017.Compared with the central regions and western regions,the high-quality development of eastern regions developed better.Compared with 2000,provinces in eastern regions still ranked higher than most of central and western regions in 2017,indicating that there’s no significant improvement in regional imbalance.Also,the spatial distribution characteristics reflect that high-quality development of eastern,central and western regions rank in descending order.
作者
韩永辉
韦东明
HAN YongHui;WEI DongMing(Guangdong Institute for International Strategies, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510420;Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732;Institute of Industrial Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632)
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第1期26-37,共12页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“产业政策对参与全球价值链的影响研究:理论机制、实证识别与中国方案”(72073037)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“产业政策对全要素生产率的影响研究:理论机制、实证识别与中国经验”(71873041)
国家自然科学基金资助项目“中国产业政策的实施效果和作用机制研究:基于供给增长和供给结构的视角”(71603060)。
关键词
高质量发展
全局主成分分析
空间格局
区域测评
high-quality development
generalized principle component analysis
spatial pattern
regional evaluation
