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中国高质量发展阶段下的产业结构变迁与经济增长研究——基于结构-效率-速度的逻辑框架 被引量:16

Research on the Relationship Between the Change of Industrial Structure and Economic Growth Under the Stage of High-quality Development in China——Based on the Logical Frame of Structure-Efficiency-Speed
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摘要 本文以结构-效率-速度为逻辑框架,在分析"服务业成本病"与"结构性减速"形成机制的基础上,通过成本-曼奎斯特模型与传统径向曼奎斯特模型相结合的非参数方法测算产业的全要素生产率、规模效率、配置效率及技术进步和价格效应的增长率。研究表明:(1)"服务业成本病"和"结构性减速"实质上一脉相承,以"服务业成本病"现象来反驳经济增长进入"结构性减速"阶段是自相矛盾的;(2)中国各产业的技术进步增长对其全要素生产率增长起决定性作用,各产业的技术进步增长减缓使得其全要素生产率增长下降,从而导致中国经济增速下滑;(3)在全要素生产率层面上,服务业并非是"技术停滞"部门,但服务业内部部门的全要素生产率增长存在较大异质性,生活性服务业的全要素生产率增长较快,而生产性服务业和公共服务业的全要素生产率增长缓慢;(4)中国各产业的配置效率增长总体上比较缓慢,进一步着力深化市场化改革和供给侧结构性改革势在必行。 This paper based on the logical frame of structure-efficiency-speed,analyzes the formation mechanism of the cost disease in service industries and structural deceleration and puts forward the non-parametric method used the cost-Malmquist model and the traditional radial Malmquist model,to measure the growth rate of TFP,scale efficiency,allocation efficiency,technical progress and price effects.Research findings are shown as follows.Firstly,the view of cost diseases in service industries and structural deceleration essentially come down in the one continuous line,and it is self-contradictory to refute the latter use the former.Secondly,the growth of technical progress plays a decisive role in the growth of TFP in various industries in China,and the slowdown in technical progress in various industries leads to a decline in the growth of TFP and even in China’s economic growth rate.Thirdly,based on the growth rate of TFP,the service industry is not a technical stagnation sector,but it is a large heterogeneity in the growth of TFP in the internal departments of the service industry,that the growth of TFP of subsistence service industry is rapidly,followed the producer service industry and the public service industry.Besides,the growth of allocation efficiency in various industries in China is generally slow,and it is imperative to deepen market-oriented reforms and structural reforms of the supply-side.
作者 韩英 马立平 HAN Ying;MA Liping(Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070)
出处 《经济与管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第12期28-40,共13页 Research on Economics and Management
基金 国家社会科学基金重点项目“京津冀产业转型升级效果的测度研究与应用研究”(17ATJ004)。
关键词 服务业成本病 结构性减速 成本-曼奎斯特模型 全要素生产率 配置效率 cost disease in service industries structural deceleration cost-Malmquist model total factor productivity(TFP) allocation efficiency
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