摘要
基于2010—2018年中国省级面板数据,利用最小二乘虚拟变量模型和中介模型,对制造业与知识密集型服务业协同集聚的产业结构合理化效应、创新效应和经济增长效应以及三者间的进一步作用进行回归分析。结果表明,制造业与知识密集型服务业协同集聚能促进区域产业结构合理化、创新和经济增长,并通过产业结构合理化间接抑制经济增长,通过创新间接促进经济增长。其中,产业结构合理化呈现负向中介效应是因为其对经济增长的正向促进作用受产业协同集聚负向调节,绝大部分省域产业协同集聚水平已达到门槛值。
Based on the provincial panel data from 2010 to 2018 in China,this paper applies the least square dummy variable model and intermediary model to carry out regression analyses on the industrial structure rationalization effect,innovation effect and economic growth effect of the co-agglomeration of manufacturing and knowledge-intensive business service as well as the further effect of the three.The results show:the co-agglomeration of manufacturing and knowledge-intensive business service can promote the regional rationalization of industrial structure,innovation and economic growth,and indirectly inhibit economic growth through the industrial structure rationalization,and promote economic growth through the innovation.The reason why the industrial structure rationalization presents negative intermediary effect is that its positive promoting effect on economic growth is negatively regulated by industrial co-agglomeration,and the level of which in most provinces has reached the threshold.
作者
郝凤霞
王宇冰
楼永
Hao Fengxia;Wang Yubing;Lou Yong(School of Economics & Management,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China)
出处
《科技进步与对策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第13期55-63,共9页
Science & Technology Progress and Policy
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(18BGL019)。
关键词
制造业
知识密集型服务业
产业协同集聚
区域服务化
Manufacturing
Knowledge-intensive Business Service
Co-agglomeration of Industry
Territorial Servitization
