摘要
本文主要考察了加勒万河谷冲突发生以来印度对华战略的转变过程。莫迪上台以来,虽然学界就印度对华奉行对冲战略逐渐形成共识,但本文研究发现,加勒万河谷冲突以后的一段时期里,印度对华政策实际上经历了从对冲到制衡再到对冲的演变过程。本文首先从概念层面,对制衡战略与对冲战略进行界定与比较,建立了主要的分析框架。在此基础之上,将加勒万河谷冲突以来印度对华战略划分为两个阶段:第一阶段,从2020年4—10月,印度对华主要奉行了制衡战略;第二阶段,从2020年10月至今,印度对华战略又重新调整为了对冲战略。印度战略行为调整的动因,本文认为这与国际战略环境的变化、印度对中国实力与意图认知的调整、印度国内局势变化等因素有关。
Since Modi came to power,India has gradually formed a consensus on its China strategy.This paper finds that India s strategy towards China has actually undergone an evolution from balancing to hedging after the conflict in the Galevan valley.This paper defines the balancing strategy and hedging strategy from the concept level,and establishes the main analysis framework.On this basis,India s strategy to China since the conflict can be divided into two stages:the first stage,from April 2020 to October 2020,India mainly pursues a balancing strategy with China;In the second stage,from October 2020 till now,India’s strategy to China has been readjusted to a hedging strategy.As for why India makes strategic adjustment,it is related to the changes of international strategic environment,India's cognition of China's power and intention,and India's domestic situation.
出处
《南亚研究季刊》
CSSCI
2021年第2期1-19,155,共20页
South Asian Studies Quarterly
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“印度外交战略转型及对中国的影响研究”(项目批准号:20CGJ007)的阶段性成果。
