外生激励和价值认同对农户持续参与森林碳汇项目意愿的影响被引量：13

Impact of Exogenous Incentives and Value Recognition on Farmers’Willingness of Continuous Participation in Forest Carbon Sequestration Project

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摘要【目的】森林碳汇减排量是国家碳市场的重要组成部分,农户作为森林碳汇项目的执行者和利益相关者,识别农户持续参与森林碳汇项目的内、外生因素对于项目的稳定推进和减缓全球气候变化具有重要意义。【方法】在内、外生激励理论的基础上,探究影响农户持续参与森林碳汇项目的内、外生因素,构建外生激励的“政策关注”“项目补贴”“榜样效应”和“增汇培训”4个维度以及价值认同的“林地价值最大化”“碳汇产业认可”和“减缓气候变化”3个维度;基于全国首批开展国家核证自愿减排量(CCER)竹林经营碳汇项目的浙江省遂昌县和景宁县,利用417份已参与首期碳汇项目农户的实地调查数据,通过统计性描述定性分析了外生激励、价值认同与农户持续参与意愿的关系;采用二元Probit模型和中介效应模型,实证分析外生激励、价值认同对农户持续参与森林碳汇项目影响的方向和程度以及价值认同的中介作用。【结果】交叉分析结果表明:外生激励、价值认同因素对农户持续参与意愿有促进作用的比例均达到98%以上,不同的外生激励、价值认同因素均在5%的显著性水平下通过了卡方检验,说明对农户持续参与森林碳汇项目意愿具有显著影响。实证分析结果表明:1)外生激励中“政策关注”在10%的显著性水平下正向影响农户持续参与意愿,“项目补贴”“榜样效应”“增汇培训”均在5%的显著性水平下对农户持续参与具有正向影响;2)价值认同中“减缓气候变化”在1%的显著性水平下对农户持续参与森林碳汇项目具有正向影响,“林地价值最大化”“碳汇产业认可”对农户持续参与意愿的影响并不显著;3)外生激励对价值认同具有显著正向影响,价值认同在外生激励和农户持续参与森林碳汇项目之间存在显著的部分中介效应,占比为25.99%。【结论】农户持续参与森林碳汇项目是外生激励、内生价值认同各自作用和共同作用的结果。外生激励中的“政策关注”“项目补贴”“榜样效应”“增汇培训”和价值认同中的“减缓气候变化”是影响农户持续参与的重要因素。外生激励对价值认同具有显著正向影响,价值认同在外生激励和农户持续参与之间存在显著的部分中介效应。【Objective】Forest carbon sequestration and emission reduction is an important part of national carbon trading.As the executors and stakeholder of the forest carbon sequestration project,identifying the endogenous and exogenous factors of farmers’continuous participation in the forest carbon sequestration project is of great significance for the stable promotion of the project and the mitigation of global climate change.【Method】Based on the theory of endogenous and exogenous incentives,explore the internal and exogenous factors that influence farmers’continuous participation in forest carbon sequestration projects.This article constructs four dimensions of exogenous incentives of“policy concern”,“project subsidy”,“model effect”and“carbon sequestration-increasing training”,and the three dimensions of“forest land value maximization”,“carbon sequestration industry recognition”and“mitigation of climate change”of value recognition.Based on 417 sets of field survey data of farmers who have participated in the first phase of carbon sequestration project of bamboo forest in Suichang and Jingning counties of Zhejiang Province that implemented the Chinese Certified Emission Reduction(CCER).The relationship among exogenous incentives,value recognition and farmers’willingness of continuous participation is analyzed by statistical description.Binary probit model and mediating effect model were used to analyze the direction and extent of the impact of exogenous incentive and value recognition on farmers’willingness to participate in forest carbon sequestration projects and the mediating role of value recognition.【Result】The results of cross analysis showed that:the proportion of exogenous incentives and value recognition factors to promote farmers’willingness to participate in the sustainable development was more than 98%.The Chi square test at a significant level of 5%indicated that different exogenous incentive factors and value recognition factors had a significant impact on farmers’continuous participation in forest carbon sequestration projects.The empirical analysis showed that:1)In exogenous incentives,“policy concern”had positive impacts on farmers’continuous participation at a significance level of 10%,“project subsidies”,“role models”and“the carbon sequestration-increasing training”had positive impacts at a significance level of 5%.2)The“mitigation of climate change”in value recognition had a positive impact on farmers’continuous participation at a significance level of 5%;while“maximum value of forest land”and“recognition of carbon sequestration industry”had no significant impact on farmers’continuous participation.3)Exogenous incentives had a significant positive impact on value recognition.And value recognition had a significant partial(25.99%)role of mediating between exogenous incentives and farmers’continuous participation in forest carbon sequestration projects.【Conclusion】Farmers’continuous participation in forest carbon sequestration projects is the result of joint impact by exogenous incentives and endogenous value recognition.“Policy concern”,“project subsidy”,“model effect”and“carbon sequestration-increasing training”in the exogenous incentives and“mitigation of climate change”in the value recognition are important factors affecting farmers’continuous participation.Exogenous incentives have a significant positive effect on value recognition,and value recognition has a significant role in partially mediating between exogenous incentives and farmers’continuous participation in carbon sequestration projects.

作者朱爱琴顾蕾朱玮强冯贻勇陈伟周国模 Zhu Aiqin;Gu Lei;Zhu Weiqiang;Feng Yiyong;Chen Wei;Zhou Guomo(College of Economics and Management,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300;Zhejiang Rural Revitalization Research Institute,Hangzhou 311300;Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Forest Ecosystem Carbon Cycle and Carbon Sequestration and Emission Reduction,Hangzhou 311300;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095;Comprehensive Agricultural Service Center of Yongquan Town,Linhai County,Zhejiang Province,Linhai 317021;College of Environment and Resources,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300)