摘要
全球价值链的增加值深层结构产生了结构性权力,其分布情况和变化趋势从经济层面映射出国际格局的重要特征和演进态势。基于联合国贸易和发展会议的跨国投入产出表数据对结构性权力进行测量和分析,结果发现全球价值链呈现出国际格局的“多极”特征和“多极化”趋势,表现为结构性权力在主要大国之间较为分散,中国的迅速崛起和德国的稳固领先凸显了美国霸权的持续衰落。国际格局的总体式样和变化可以概括为“中心-边缘”的高度等级分化和“东升西降”的格局走势,体系边缘国家被进一步边缘化的趋势值得特别关注。面对当前地缘政治回归和民粹主义泛起等全球性挑战,将结构性权力用作塑造结构和扩展可能性边界的积极力量,同时防止将其用作国家间对抗的新武器,对于稳定国际体系和构建新型国际关系意义重大。
Structural power emerges from the deep structure of the value-added global value chains.At the economic level,the circumstances of its distribution and changing trends in structural power reflect the major characteristics and evolutionary dynamics of the international situation.On the basis of UNCTAD cross-country input-output tabular data,we measured and analyzed structural power,and found that global value chains exhibit an international pattern of“multi-polarity”and“multi-polarization.”This is manifest in the dispersion of structural power among the major powers,in which China’s rapid rise and Germany’s continued preeminence highlight the steady decline of American hegemony.The overall patterns and changes in the international situation can be summed up as a tendency toward a highly hierarchical“center-periphery”structure and a situation in which“the East rises as the West declines.”The trend for countries on the periphery of the system to become further marginalized deserves particular attention.To tackle the global challenges posed by the return of geopolitics and the upsurge of populism,avoiding using structural power as a new weapon in international conflict and adopting it as a positive force to shape structures and expand the limits of possibilities is of great significance for stabilizing the international system and building a new type of international relations.
作者
庞珣
何晴倩
Pang Xun;He Qingqian
出处
《中国社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第9期26-46,204,205,共23页
Social Sciences in China
