摘要
基于2010-2015年新疆旅游统计数据,构建灰色GM(1,1)模型。采用预测值与真实值之差异量化新疆工作成效。结果表明,2016-2019年接待游客总数分别比预测值高出1629.75、3663.80、7316.66、12961.95万人次。
Based on statistic tourism data from 2016 to 2019,we build a grey GM(1,1)model to get the difference between the estimation and real value for quantizing the efficiency of Xinjiang's work.The results indicate that tourists from 2016 to 2019 are 16.30,36.64,73.17 and 12.96 million more than that of the prediction respectively.
作者
闫海波
殷生杰
YAN Haibo;YIN Shengjie(School of Statistics and Data Sciences, Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics, Urumchi 830013, China)
出处
《长春工业大学学报》
CAS
2021年第5期429-434,共6页
Journal of Changchun University of Technology
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(17BJY235)
新疆维吾尔自治区高校科研计划基金资助项目(XJEDU2017M028)。
