摘要
以CFPS2018年的农村家庭数据为样本,从绝对贫困和相对贫困的双重视角出发构建符合新发展阶段情景的中国农村多维贫困指标体系,采取改进的AF法识别、测度和分解农村居民家庭的多维贫困状况。研究表明:中国农村居民家庭在受教育年限、养老保险参保率和家庭平均旅游支出等几个指标上的贫困发生率较高,在收入、健康、生活水平等维度上存在较高的返贫风险;从多维贫困指数的变化来看,随着K值的上升,多维贫困指数虽然在逐渐减小,但在K_(1)=0.2和K_(2)=0.4时的贫困指数仍然较大,表明农村居民家庭在4~7个指标上发生多维贫困的概率较高;进一步的指标分解发现,在吉林、辽宁、广西等地区,严重的相对贫困问题和高绝对贫困返贫风险共存,家庭人均工作小时数和家庭人均旅游支出等休闲维度指标逐渐对农村居民家庭相对贫困产生重要影响。
This paper selects CFPS2018 rural household data as the sample,constructs a multidimensional poverty index system that conforms to the scenario of the new development stage in China’s rural areas from the dual perspectives of absolute poverty and relative poverty,and adopts the improved AF method to identify,measure and decompose multidimensional poverty of rural households.The main conclusions are as follows:The rural households in China have a high incidence of poverty in several indicators such as the education years,pension insurance participation rate and per capital travel expenditure,and there is a high risk of returning to poverty in the dimensions of income,health and living standards.From the perspective of the change of multidimensional poverty index,the multidimensional poverty index decreases gradually with the increase of K value,but the poverty index is still large when K_(1)=0.2 and K_(2)=0.4,indicating that rural households have a high probability of multidimensional poverty in 4~7 indicators.Further decomposition of indicators shows,serious relative poverty and high risk of falling back into absolute poverty coexist in Jilin,Liaoning,Guangxi and other regions,and leisure indicators such as per capital working hours of families and per capita travel expenditure of families gradually have an important impact on the relative poverty of rural households.
作者
李壮壮
龙莹
LI Zhuang-zhuang;LONG Ying(School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China;School of Mathematics and Statistics,Suzhou University,Suzhou 234000,China)
出处
《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第2期15-27,共13页
Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
全国统计科学研究一般项目(2019768)
教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(19YJA840008)。
关键词
新发展阶段
农村居民
绝对贫困
相对贫困
多维贫困
new development stage
rural residents
absolute poverty
relative poverty
multidimensional poverty
