摘要
本文基于2001年到2020年我国省级年度面板数据,构建了绿色金融发展水平测度指标体系,运用熵值法对我国绿色金融发展指数进行测算,运用马尔可夫转移概率矩阵、泰尔指数和莫兰指数对我国区域绿色金融发展的动态变化、差异性以及空间分布进行了系统分析。研究结果发现:第一,我国整体绿色金融发展指数呈现连年上升的趋势,且东部地区多年表现出高水平、高增长状态,与中西部地区发展呈现出两极分化的态势;第二,绿色金融发展较为稳定,一年后大部分都维持在原有的等级水平,且较低水平区域向上转移的概率一般大于较高水平区域向下转移的概率;第三,从总体发展差异来看,二十年来我国绿色金融发展指数差异呈现上升趋势,说明发展差异不断扩大,并且地区内部的差异较地区间的差异对总体差异贡献较大,从地区内部差异比较看,东部地区差异远超中西部地区;从我国绿色金融发展指数的区域间分布状态来看,绿色金融发展存在着一定的空间溢出效应,呈现出“正向集聚”的特征。
Research on the development of regional green finance has become one of the most important issues to be paid attention to.Based on the annual panel data of China's provincial level from 2001 to 2020,this paper constructed an index system to measure the development level of green finance,and used the entropy method to calculate the green finance development index in China for many years.Then,this paper systematically analyzes the dynamic changes,differ‐ences and spatial distribution of regional green finance development in China by using Markov transition probability ma‐trix,Theil index and Moran index.The research results show that:first,China's overall green finance development index has been rising year after year,and the eastern region has been showing a high level and high growth for many years,showing a trend of polarization with the development of the central and western regions;Second,the development of green finance is relatively stable,and most of it remains at the original level after one year,and the probability of up‐ward transfer in lower level regions is generally greater than the probability of downward transfer in higher level regions.Thirdly,from the perspective of overall development differences,the green finance development index differences in Chi‐na have shown an upward trend in the past two decades,indicating that the development differences are expanding,and the differences within regions contribute more to the overall differences than the differences between regions.The differ‐ences within regions in the central and eastern regions are far greater than the other two parts.Finally,from the regional distribution of China's green finance development index,the development of green finance has a certain spatial spillover effect,showing the characteristics of"positive agglomeration".
作者
宋玉茹
SONG Yuru(Party School of the CPC Central Committee,Beijing 100091)
出处
《西部金融》
2022年第4期29-36,共8页
West China Finance
基金
中共中央党校(国家行政学院)校(院)级重点科研项目:“十四五”期间我国系统性金融风险研究(2020ZD002)
国家社会科学基金重大项目:健全国家金融安全体系研究(18VSJ036)
阶段性成果。
关键词
绿色金融
绿色发展
区域经济
green finance
dynamic change
spatial distribution
