摘要
现代综合交通枢纽是发挥综合交通网络效能的关键节点。首先,通过讨论枢纽集群协同、站城融合、多方式衔接一体化等方面对大城市新增铁路综合交通枢纽的最新功能要求,分析其对客流需求预测产生的影响并思考相应枢纽客流需求预测改进的要点;其次,需求预测分析从城市全域枢纽发送总量向新建枢纽发送量逐层聚焦、周边开发出行与枢纽运作互动反馈、枢纽多方式衔接一体化运作预测等3个方面进行改进;最后,以广州市白云枢纽客流需求预测与分析为例,以全面、精细枢纽客流预测数据支持综合枢纽设计与建设,促进新建枢纽功能发挥。
The modern comprehensive transportation hub is the key node for the comprehensive transportation network to take effect.Firstly,the latest functional requirements of the newly added railway integrated transportation hubs in big cities are discussed from three aspects:hub cluster coordination,station-city integration,and multi-modal integration.Secondly,the three aspects’impact on passenger flow demand forecasting is analysed,and the places for flow demand forecast model improvements are correspondingly considered.The demand forecasting method has been further improved in terms of focusing on the total passenger volume of the intra-city hubs to the passenger volume of new hubs,the interactive feedback of surrounding development travel and hub operation,and the integrated operation forecast of multi-modal connection and integration of hubs.Finally,taking the Baiyun hub in Guangzhou,as an example,the data of comprehensive and precise passenger flow forecast of the hub supports the planning and construction of the rail hub and promotes the function of the new hub.
作者
刘明敏
卢泰宇
陈先龙
LIU Mingmin;LU Taiyu;CHEN Xianlong(Guangzhou Transport Planning Research Institute Co.,Ltd,Guangzhou 510030,China)
出处
《交通与运输》
2022年第4期73-77,共5页
Traffic & Transportation
基金
广州市“岭南英杰工程”后备人才(马小毅)培养计划(穗人社函[2019]928号)。
关键词
枢纽协同
站城融合
衔接一体化
客流需求预测
白云站
Hub coordination
Station-city Integration
Connection integration
Passenger flow demand forecast
Baiyun station
