摘要
结构性矛盾是大国在体系中的位置变迁所导致的相互排斥状态。崛起国实力上升和影响力扩展是结构性矛盾生成的必要条件,但就其过程而言,结构性矛盾其实生成于崛起国地区影响力的扩展和主导国对崛起国影响力的排斥过程中。中国周边地区结构是双重的。在主导国的视阈里,中国影响力在周边地区的扩展,不仅在地区层面冲击美国的地区主导地位,也在次区域层面影响印日澳等地区大国各自在南亚、东南亚和南太平洋岛国这些次区域板块的主导地位。为护持地区主导地位,它们对中国影响力的排斥也随之而来,由此双重结构性矛盾在地区和次区域两个层面生成。作为体系变量,双重结构性矛盾在很大程度上为美国构建印太联盟体系提供了结构性驱动力,包括明确联盟体系的战略目标、塑造联盟成员的收益偏好和行为方式,以及构建联盟体系多维度的整体架构诸方面。对于中国而言,既然结构性矛盾难以避免,那么推动强结构性矛盾向弱结构性矛盾转化,对于弱化印太联盟体系的压力也就具有战略意义。
Structural contradictions are mutually exclusive status caused by changes in the positions of major powers in the international system.The increase in the strength and influence of rising powers is a necessary condition for the formation of structural contradictions.However,as regards the process,structural contradictions are actually generated in the expansion of regional influence of a rising power and the exclusion of this power’s influence by the existing hegemonic power.The structure of China’s neighborhood is dual.From the perspective of the hegemonic power,the expansion of China’s influence in the neighboring areas has affected not only the regional hegemony of the United States at the regional level,but also the dominant position of India,Japan,and Australia in South Asia,Southeast Asia,and South Pacific Islands at the subregional levels,respectively.Consequently,they have rejected China’s influence in order to preserve their regional dominance.Therefore,dual structural contradictions are generated at the regional as well as subregional levels.As a system variable,to a large extent,these contradictions provide a structural driving force for the United States to build the Indo-Pacific coalition system,including clarifying the strategic goals of the coalition system,shaping the income preferences and behaviors of coalition members,and building a multidimensional overall architecture of the coalition system.For China,since structural contradictions are inevitable,it is of strategic significance to promote the transformation of strong structural contradictions into weak ones in order to weaken the pressure emerging from the Indo-Pacific coalition system.
出处
《外交评论（外交学院学报）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第5期78-109,I0003,I0004,共34页
Foreign Affairs Review
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(项目编号:16YJA770018)的资助。
关键词
周边地区
双重结构性矛盾
地区影响力
印太联盟体系
崛起国
主导国
neighboring areas
dual structural contradictions
regional influence
Indo-Pacific coalition system
rising power
hegemonic power
