摘要
推动农民工职业流动是我国实现共同富裕的重要途径。将农民工职业流动方向设定为向上流动、平行流动、向下流动三种类型,从农民工社会资本入手,采用中国劳动力动态调查数据和《中国城市统计年鉴》等数据,运用竞争性风险模型考察社会资本对农民工职业流动的影响。结果发现,每多一人提供就业帮助,农民工职业向上流动的概率显著提高1.4%,职业平行流动的概率显著降低2.3%;职业向下流动的概率提高0.7%,但不显著。也就是说,社会资本有助于农民工减少职业平行流动,实现职业向上流动,同时不会带来职业向下流动。替换核心变量的度量方法后与基准回归结果一致。通过非参置换检验、工具变量法、广义倾向得分匹配法考虑内生性问题后的结果进一步证明了上述结论。最后提出政府要畅通农民工社会资本获取的渠道,促进农民工组织层面社会资本的巩固和开发,农民工个人注重维护和积累自身社会资本的启示。
Promoting the occupational mobility of migrant workers is an important way to achieve com-mon prosperity in China.The direction of occupational mobility of migrant workers is set as three types:upward mobility,parallel mobility and downward mobility.Starting from the social capital of migrant workers,this paper examines the impact of social capital on the occupational mobility of migrant work-ers by means of the competitive risk model and the data of China Labor Force Dynamic Survey and China City Statistical Yearbook.The results show that with one more person providing employment assistance,the probability of upward occupational mobility of migrant workers increases by 1.4%,the probability of parallel mobility decreases by 2.3%;and the probability of downward mobility increases by 0.7%,but not significantly.That is to say,social capital helps migrant workers to reduce the parallel mobility and achieve upward mobility without bringing about downward mobility.The measurement method of re-placing the core variables is consistent with the benchmark regression results.The conclusion is further proved by the results of non-parametric permutation test,instrumental variable method and generalized propensity score matching method considering endogenous problems.Finally,it is proposed that the government should unblock the channels for migrant workers to obtain social capital,consolidate and develop social capital at the organizational level of migrant workers;meanwhile,migrant workers should maintain and accumulate their own social capital.
作者
李珊珊
刘泽琦
LI Shan-shan;LIU Ze-qi
出处
《中国地质大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第2期120-133,共14页
Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)
关键词
农民工
职业流动
社会资本
竞争性风险模型
migrant workers
occupational mobility
social capital
competitive risk model
