摘要
运用系统动力学研究方法,建立了体育产业结构优化动力系统模型,对不同优化路径进行仿真,对比不同的优化路径与我国体育产业支柱型产业目标、体育产业就业人数增长的目标契合程度,旨在探索当前我国体育产业结构优化较为科学的路径模式。研究表明,在产业部门发展导向层面,体育产业结构的优化过度追求某一产业部门“比重”,会造成产业发展空间与资源被挤压、体育资源的不合理流动,弱化结构效益的转换。各产业均衡协调发展是最佳路径选择,可以实现体育产业结构优化的目的,而且有利于完成“体育产业成为国民支柱产业”指标任务和达到稳定就业的目标。从产业要素驱动的层面,体育资源配置型优化路径更值得关注,既保证了产业结构效益产出的效率,又充分满足社会效益要求。
Using the method of dynamics research,this paper establishes the dynamic system model of sports industrial structure optimization,simulates different optimization path models,and compares the degree of coincidence between different optimization paths and the goal of sports industry pillar industry and the goal of sports industry employment growth,aiming to explore a more scientific path model of sports industrial structure optimization in China.The research shows that the optimization of sports industrial structure,at the level of industrial development orientation,excessively pursues the“proportion”of an industrial sector,resulting in the extrusion of its industrial development space and resources,the unreasonable flow of sports resources,and the weakening of the transformation of structural benefits.The path of“balanced and coordinated development of all industries”is the best choice,which can not only achieve the goal of optimizing the sports industry structure,but also help to achieve the target task of“becoming a national pillar industry by 2035”and the goal of stable employment.From the aspect of industrial factor driving,the optimization path of sports resource allocation deserves more attention.On the one hand,it ensures the efficiency of industrial structure benefit output,on the other hand,it fully meets the requirements of social benefits.
作者
蔡朋龙
王家宏
CAI Penglong;WANG Jiahong(Department of Physical Education,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China;Sports Industry Research Institute,Renmin University of China(Zhengding),Beijing 100872,China;Dongwu Sports Think-Tank,Soochow University,Suzhou 215021,Jiangsu,China)
出处
《西安体育学院学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第1期44-57,共14页
Journal of Xi'an Physical Education University
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(22XNF041)。
关键词
体育产业结构
优化路径:系统动力学
仿真
预测
sports industry structure
optimization path:system dynamics
simulation
forecast
