摘要
为探究我国铁路运输安全事故的关键因素,采用N-K模型从人、设、环、管四个子系统风险进行分析,将风险耦合分为单因素、双因素和多因素三类,并以我国1950~2020年发生的铁路运输安全事故统计数据为基础,进行N-K模型实证分析。结果表明:安全事故发生的概率与风险值耦合值呈现正相关,其中人的因素对耦合影响最大。因此主观因素是铁路部门应当着重注意并改善的方向,以避免各因素耦合作用发生在铁路安全运输系统中较为薄弱环节。
As to explore the key factors of the railway transport safety accidents in our country,using N-K model from four subsystems,set,ring,pipe risk analysis,risk coupling can be divided into single,double and multiple factors 3 classes,and combined with 1950~2020 in China over the safety of railway transportation accident statistical data as the foundation,N-K model empirical analysis.The results show that there is a positive correlation between the probability of safety accident and the coupling value of risk value,in which the human factor has the greatest influence on the coupling value.Therefore,the subjective factor is the direction that the railway department should pay attention to and improve,so as to avoid the coupling effect of various factors in the relatively weak link in the railway safety transportation system.
出处
《工业控制计算机》
2023年第5期97-98,100,共3页
Industrial Control Computer
基金
2022年校级教学质量工程建设项目高等教育教学改革-专业创新型课程专项(ZLGC20220527)“《物流技术与装备》课程教学理论与实践创新性探究”
广东省教育厅2021年本科高校教学质量与教学改革工程课程教研室建设项目“智能物流应用教研室建设”。
关键词
N-K模型
风险耦合
铁路运输
安全管理
N-K model
risk coupling
railway transportation
the safety management
