摘要
在国民经济工业体系中,化工行业属于生产原材料的产业。与其它工业相比,化工行业的原料和产品更多、市场价格波动更频繁,且与上游原料的价格波动关系紧密,也与国内外供需关系以及国内外政治、经济形势等多种因素密切相关。文中根据已有的乙烯原料或产品的历史价格,对其上游原料和下游产品价格相关性和变化规律进行研究分析,找出影响价格的相关因素,研究乙烯原料与产品之间的价格关系,包括价格传导机制研究和周期性研究等,最终得出乙烯产业链产品在不同油价水平下的国内测算价格。
In the national economic industrial system,the chemical industry belongs to the industry of producing raw materials.Compared with other industries,the chemical industry has the characteristics of more raw materials and products,more frequent market price fluctuations,which is closely related to the price fluctuations of upstream raw materials,but also closely related to domestic and foreign supply and demand relations as well as domestic and foreign political and economic situations and other factors.Based on the historical prices of existing ethylene raw materials or products,this paper studied and analyzed the price correlation and change rules of upstream raw materials and downstream products,found out the relevant factors affecting prices,studied the price relationship between ethylene raw materials and products,including price transmission mechanism research and periodicity research,and finallyobtained the domestic estimated prices of ethylene industry chain products under different oil prices.
作者
冯国莉
王勇
庄妍
王梦川
Feng Guoli;Wang Yong;Zhuang Yan;Wang Mengchuan(CNOOC Energy Economics Institute,Beijing 100013,China)
出处
《炼油与化工》
CAS
2023年第6期42-48,共7页
Refining And Chemical Industry
关键词
乙烯
影响因素
定价机制
价格测算
ethylene
influencing factors
pricing mechanism
price calculation
