摘要
基于乡村振兴、新型城镇化和生态环境耦合协同关系,以云南省为研究对象,通过构建三者耦合协调评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数分解法和面板Tobit模型测算2005—2020年云南省及其16个州市耦合协调发展水平,时空演变特征,区域差异以及影响因素。结果表明:①整体上,云南省综合评价指数、耦合度和协调度都呈现上升态势,但三者水平还需提高,云南省三大系统的相互作用程度逐渐增强,耦合类型的空间差异性逐渐变小;②三者的耦合度和协调度的空间差异性较为明显,表现出滇中>滇西>滇南>滇东的分异特征,协调度增长速度以保山市、临沧市和文山州最高;③总体基尼系数逐渐缩小,各区域之间以及区域之间城乡差距仍然是构成云南省基尼系数变化的主要原因;④经济发展水平、政府能力、对外开放水平以及旅游活力大体上对于云南省乡村振兴、新型城镇化和生态环境具有正向的促进作用,而产业二元性结构水平则不利于三者的协同发展,影响三者耦合协调度的因素具有显著的区域差异性。
Taking Yunnan Province as the research object,this paper constructed a coupling and coordination evaluation index system based on the coupling and synergistic relationship between rural revitalization,new urbanization,and ecological environment.This paper used the entropy method,coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method,and panel Tobit model to calculate the coupling and coordination development level,spatio-temporal evolution characteristics,regional differences,and influencing factors of Yunnan Province and 16 prefectures and cities from 2005 to 2020.The results showed that:①The comprehensive evaluation index,coupling degree,and coordination degree of Yunnan Province showed an overall upward trend,but the overall level of the three still needed to be improved.②The degree of interaction among the three major systems in Yunnan Province was gradually increasing,and the spatial differences of coupling types were gradually decreasing.The spatial differences in the coupling and coordination degree of the three were more obvious,showing a differentiation feature of central Yunnan>western Yunnan>southern Yunnan>eastern Yunnan.The growth rate of coordination degree was highest in Baoshan City,Lincang City,and Wenshan Prefecture.③The overall Gini coefficient was gradually decreasing,and the urban-rural gap between different regions was still the main reason for the changes in the Gini coefficient of Yunnan Province.④The level of economic development,government capacity,level of opening up to the outside world,and tourism vitality generally had a positive promoting effect on rural revitalization,new urbanization,and ecological environment in Yunnan Province.However,the level of industrial duality structure was not conducive to the coordinated development of the three.The factors that affected the coupling coordination of the three have significant regional differences.
作者
张永东
杨子生
ZHANG Yongdong;YANG Zisheng(Institute of Land Resources and Sustainable Development,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China;Yunnan University of Finance and Economics Institute of Precision Poverty Alleviation and Development,Kunming 650221,China)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
2024年第4期533-545,共13页
Resource Development & Market
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41261018)。
关键词
乡村振兴
新型城镇化
生态环境
耦合协调
影响因素
rural revitalization
new urbanization
ecological environment
coupling coordination
influencing factor
