摘要
实现“三农”现代化和新型城镇化的耦合协调,对城乡融合和乡村振兴的战略实施具有重要意义。文章采用耦合协调度模型,定量测算“三农”现代化和新型城镇化综合发展水平、耦合协调水平和空间相关性,同时引入地理探测器模型进一步分析导致空间异质性的驱动因子。结果表明:(1)2011—2019年福建省“三农”现代化和新型城镇化指数整体呈现上升趋势,增长幅度在103.83%~124.38%之间。“三农”现代化和新型城镇化耦合协调度主要以失调为主,部分城市达到勉强协调状态,协调度平均水平由0.31提高到0.47。(2)福建省“三农”现代化和新型城镇化耦合协调度空间格局具有“南高北低—东高西低”的特征,从整体上保持倒“U”型空间特征。(3)从影响二者耦合协调的影响因子分析,城乡经济发展水平、城乡公共设施服务等对耦合协调度水平影响显著。文章创新性地将系统耦合理论纳入“三农”现代化与新型城镇化研究领域,深度剖析市域尺度下福建省高质量推进“三农”现代化与新型城镇化发展现状、空间关联和差异因素,结合新型城镇化高质量发展框架,详尽阐释农业、农村、农民现代化之间的复杂互动关系,拓展“三农”现代化与新型城镇化相互依存的动态理论基础和评价维度。依据研究结论提出政策启示:需加强经济发展导向以协调城乡发展,同时注重社会发展导向,坚持绿色发展为引导原则,以差异化的方式推进“三农”现代化和新型城镇化协调发展。
Realizing the coupling and coordination of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization is of great significance to the strategic implementation of urban-rural integration and rural revitalization.In this paper,the coupling coordination degree model was used to quantitatively measure the comprehensive development level,coupling coordination level and spatial correlation of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization.At the same time,the geographic detector model was introduced to further analyze the driving factors leading to spatial heterogeneity.The results showed that:(1)The index of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization in Fujian Province showed an overall upward trend from 2011 to 2019,with an increase rate between 103.83%and 124.38%.The coupling coordination degree of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization was mainly out of balance,and some cities had reached a state of reluctant coordination.The average level of coordination degree had increased from 0.31 to 0.47.(2)The spatial pattern of the coupling coordination degree of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization in Fujian Province had the characteristics of"high in the south,low in the north,high in the east and low in the west",with the spatial characteristics of inverted"U"as a whole.(3)From the influence factors of the two coupling coordination,the level of urban and rural economic development and urban and rural public facilities services had significant impact on the level of coupling coordination.This study creatively brought the system coupling theory into the research field of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization,and deeply analyzed the current situation,spatial relevance and difference factors of Fujian Province's high-quality promotion of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and the de‐velopment of new urbanization on the municipal scale.Combined with the high-quality development framework of new urbanization,explained the complex interaction among agriculture,rural areas and farmers in detail,and expanded the dynamic theoretical basis and evaluation dimensions of the interdependence between"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization.According to the research conclusion,some policy enlightenments were put forward:It is necessary to strengthen economic guidance to coordinate urban and rural development,pay attention to social orientation,adhere to the guiding principle of green development,and promote the coordinated development of"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization and new urbanization in a differentiated way.
作者
方麒玮
马永强
张孙博文
陈佑成
FANG Qiwei;MA Yongqiang;ZHANG Sunbowen;CHEN Youcheng(College of Digital Economy,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Quanzhou 362400)
出处
《林业经济》
2024年第3期51-77,共27页
Forestry Economics
基金
福建省财政厅委托项目“乡村振兴背景下农业特色产业强镇发展路径研究”(KLE21002A)
福建省创新战略研究计划项目“福建茶文化遗产的集体记忆建构与活态保护研究”(2021R0039)
福建农林大学茶产业链科技创新与服务体系建设项目“茶产业经济与文化创意研究”(K152005A08)。
关键词
“三农”现代化
耦合协调度模型
新型城镇化
地理探测器
福建省
"agriculture,rural areas and farmers"modernization
coupling coordination degree model
new urbanization
geographic detector
Fujian Province
