摘要
我国在2020年消除绝对贫困之后,贫困治理工作由消除绝对贫困向缓解相对贫困转变。以人工智能、新技术等为代表的新兴产业推动新质生产力升级,为有效解决农村相对贫困提供了全新机遇和有利条件。基于2012—2022年我国省级面板数据,构建固定效应模型和中介效应模型,分析新质生产力、产业结构高级化与农村相对贫困之间的内在关系。研究发现:新质生产力水平的提升对于缓解农村相对贫困有直接明确的促进作用;中部和西部地区的新质生产力缓解农村相对贫困作用比较显著,且西部地区新质生产力水平缓解农村相对贫困作用大于中部地区,但在东部地区新质生产力水平缓解农村相对贫困效果不明显;产业结构高级化存在21.26%的中介效应,能有效缓解农村相对贫困。
After eliminating absolute poverty in 2020,China's poverty alleviation efforts are now shifting towards addressing relative poverty.The emergence of new industries,such as artificial intelligence and new technologies,has facilitated the enhancement of new quality productive forces,offering unprecedented opportunities and favorable conditions for effectively eliminating relative poverty in rural areas.Using panel data from China′s provinces spanning from 2012 to 2022,fixed effects models and intermediate effects models are constructed to analyze the inherent relationship between new quality productive forces,advanced industrial structure,and relative rural poverty.The findings indicate that the improvement of new quality productive forces directly contributes to alleviating relative poverty in rural areas;Furthermore,the new quality productive forces have a significant effect on alleviating relative poverty in rural areas in both central and western regions,however the effect is more pronounced in the western region than in the central region.Conversely,there was no significant impact observed in the eastern region.Additionally,it was found that advanced industrial structure plays a mediating role by effectively mitigating relative poverty in rural areas with a mediation effect of 21.26%.
作者
朱道才
郑凯
ZHU Daocai;ZHENG Kai(School of Economics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,Anhui)
出处
《河北农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2024年第4期1-11,共11页
Journal of Hebei Agricultural University (SOCIAL SCIENCES)
基金
国家社会科学基金项目:“农业绿色低碳转型与粮食安全融合发展的机制及路径研究”(编号:23BJY150)
安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目:“相对贫困城乡共治的机制和路径研究”(编号:ACYC2022465)。
关键词
新质生产力
农村相对贫困
产业结构高级化
贫困治理
中介效应
new quality productive forces
rural relative poverty
advanced industrial structure
poverty alleviation
mediating effect
