摘要
【目的】农业绿色生产技术是助推农户与现代农业有效衔接的途径,但其应用效果受农户决策的时间偏好和风险偏好影响,基于农户决策偏好视角探讨农业绿色生产技术的富民效应具有重要意义。【方法】利用2020和2021年两期中国土地经济调查(CLES)数据,采用多元线性回归模型和调节效应模型解析农业绿色生产技术的富民效应,并进一步考察农户决策偏好的调节作用。【结果】①农业绿色生产技术具有显著的富民效应,且对农作物的增产效应比增收效应更加明显。②农户决策偏好对农业绿色生产技术的富民效应存在调节作用,表现为农户时间偏好越低(即越偏好长期收益)、风险偏好越高,农业绿色生产技术的富民效应就越明显。③农业绿色生产技术的富民效应具有异质性。就技术供给主体而言,在3类主体的引导下,农业绿色生产技术均能产生增产效应,其中准公益性主体引导效果最强;针对农业绿色生产技术产生增收效应,准公益性主体引导效果优于公益性主体引导效果,但经营性主体引导效果不显著。就农户而言,农业绿色生产技术对助推家庭兼业化程度低的农户、种植细碎化程度高的农户增产增收具有较强的边际作用。【结论】农户决策偏好异质性是影响农业绿色生产技术发挥富民效应的关键因素,同时也要注意富民效应在不同家庭经营方式和土地经营规模的农户中表现出的差异化现象,进而制定和实施有效的农业绿色生产技术推广方案。
[Objective]Agricultural green production technology is a way to promote the effective connection between farmers and modern agriculture,but the effect of its application is affected by the time preference and risk preference of farmers.It is of great significance to explore the enriching effects of agricultural green production technologies on farming households based on the difference of farmers’decision preferences.[Methods]Based on the data of China Land Economic Survey in 2020 and 2021,this study used multiple linear regression models and the regulatory effect model to analyze the enriching effects of green agricultural production technologies,and further investigated the moderating effect of farmers’decision preferences.[Results](1)Agricultural green production technology had a significant effect on enriching farming households,and its yield increasing effect on crops was more significant than its income increasing effect.(2)The decision-making preferences of farmers had a moderating effect,which was manifested as the lower the time preference and the higher the risk preference of farmers,the more obvious the enriching effects of agricultural green production technologies on farming households.(3)The enriching effects of agricultural green production technologies were heterogeneous.With regard to the supplier of agricultural green production technology,under the guidance of quasi-public welfare suppliers,the enriching effects were better than those of public welfare suppliers and business entities;Under the guidance of business entities,although agricultural green production technologies can increase crop yield,they cannot effectively increase farmers’incomes.As far as the farmers are concerned,agricultural green production technologies had a strong marginal effect on promoting the increase in production and income of farmers with low levels of household specialization and fragmented planting.[Conclusion]The heterogeneity of decision-making preferences of farmers was the key factor that affected the enriching effects of agricultural green production technologies on farming households.Attention should also be paid to the differentiation of enriching effects among farmers with different land management scales and family management modes,in order to formulate and implement effective promotion plans for agricultural green production technology.
作者
陈中伟
杨林源
CHEN Zhongwei;YANG Linyuan(School of Economics,Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics,Zhengzhou 450046,China)
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第8期1588-1603,共16页
Resources Science
基金
河南省高校哲学社会科学应用研究重大项目(2023-YYZD-26)
河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2023BJJ090)
郑州航空工业管理学院科研团队基金项目(23ZHTD02005)。
关键词
农业绿色生产技术
富民效应
时间偏好
风险偏好
多元线性回归模型
调节效应
江苏省
agricultural green production technology
enriching effects on farming households
time preference
risk appetite
multiple linear regression model
moderating effect
Jiangsu Province
