摘要
户籍改革对劳动力统一大市场、农业转移人口市民化和城乡融合发展有重要意义,但现有研究缺乏对2016年之后户籍改革重要进展的量化分析。本文基于人口普查微观数据和地方落户政策构建了332个城市1996—2024年的落户门槛面板数据,分析发现,城市落户门槛的加权均值从1999年的98.8%逐步下降到了2024年的12.6%,在2001年和2015年经历了快速下降。城市级别越高,则落户门槛越高、下降越慢。城市落户门槛与老龄化和经济开放度显著负相关,与城镇常住人口显著正相关。
Hukou reform is of great significance to labor market integration, new urbanization of agricultural migrants and urban-rural integration, but no research quantifies Hukou reform progress since 2016. Based on population censuses and Hukou policies, we construct a panel of settlement threshold of 332 cities from 1996 to 2024. The weighted average threshold gradually decreased from 98.8% in 1999 to 12.6% in 2024, with a rapid decline around 2001 and 2015. The higher the city tier, the higher the threshold and the slower the decline. The threshold is significantly negatively correlated with aging and economic openness, while positively correlated with urban population.
作者
张吉鹏
陈翥
ZHANG Jipeng;CHEN Zhu(Shandong University;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
出处
《经济学（季刊）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第6期1781-1797,共17页
China Economic Quarterly
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(72173098)的资助。
