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命运共同体建设视角下的澜湄国家产业变迁研究

Industrial Transformation in the Lancang-Mekong Countries from the Perspective of Building a Community with a Shared Future
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摘要 二战后,经济全球化和区域经济一体化深入发展,东盟国家在此背景下,不断整合资源与政策,扩大区域影响力,努力构建区域产业合作和区域经济网络。作为东盟重要组成部分的湄公河国家面临着经济与社会发展的重大历史任务。从产业变迁规律的角度来看,湄公河国家具有承接中国、日本、美国等国产业调整和产业转移的基础。澜湄国家命运共同体建设的推进,为提升湄公河国家经济实力,促进各国发展提供了新的战略机遇。澜湄国家命运共同体如果能推动湄公河国家的产业变迁,不仅会推动湄公河国家的工业化,促进中国与湄公河国家的区域经济一体化,改变亚太地区经济一体化落后于世界其他地区的现状,更能极大地改善中国与湄公河国家面临的地缘政治经济环境,从根本上保障湄公河国家的经济发展与社会安全。从历史和现实来看,澜湄国家产业变迁还存在湄公河国家治理水平有限、相关国家对中国意识形态的误读、乌克兰危机及其长期化导致全球供应链断裂和经济脱钩加剧等困境。澜湄国家命运共同体建设的最优途径是推动中国与湄公河国家在产业上的融合,形成一定梯度的产业结构,推动中国与湄公河国家的产业变迁。 After World War II,the processes of economic globalization and regional economic integration have developed in depth,which is a key manifestation of the major European and American powers strengthening their regional and even global influence and constructing regional industrial cooperation and economic networks.In recent years,ASEAN has been trying to maintain its leadership in the Asia-Pacific region.As important components of ASEAN,the Mekong countries are facing significant historical tasks of economic and social development.After WWII,several industrialization processes in the Mekong countries failed due to the lack of foundational conditions for industrialization.The industrial structure of each country remains largely agricultural,preventing the realization of industrial development and the industrialization process.From the perspective of industrial transformation,the Mekong countries have the potential to absorb industrial adjustments and transfers from countries like China,Japan,and the United States.Promoting the Lancang-Mekong Community of Shared Future provides new strategic opportunities for enhancing the economic strength of Mekong countries and promoting their development.If the Lancang Mekong Community of Shared Future can drive the industrial transformation of Mekong countries,it will not only achieve industrialization of Mekong countries,promote regional economic integration between China and Mekong countries,change the current situation of economic integration in the Asia Pacific region lagging behind other regions in the world,but also greatly improve the geopolitical and economic environment faced by China and Mekong countries,fundamentally ensuring the economic development and security of Mekong countries.In terms of history and reality,the industrial changes of the Lancang Mekong countries still face difficulties such as the limited governance of the Mekong countries,the misreading of Chinese ideology by relevant countries,and the rupture of the global supply chain and the intensification of economic decoupling caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict.The optimal approach for building a community of shared future for the Lancang Mekong countries is to promote the integration of industries between China and Mekong countries,creating a tiered industrial structure to achieve industrial transformation for both China and the Mekong countries.
作者 刘峻玮 LIU Jun-wei
机构地区 深圳汇丰银行
出处 《南亚东南亚研究》 2024年第5期14-29,154,共17页 South and Southeast Asian Studies
关键词 命运共同体 澜湄国家 产业变迁 区域经济一体化 Community of Shared Future Lancang-Mekong Countries Industrial Transformation Regional Economic Integration
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