摘要
基于2012年至2022年我国31个省级行政区的面板数据,立足产业结构合理化视角,实证检验新质生产力对碳排放的影响效应、作用机制及空间溢出效应。结果表明:(1)新质生产力对碳排放具有显著的负向影响。(2)机制分析结果表明,新质生产力通过促进产业结构合理化降低碳排放。(3)异质性检验表明,在我国非长江经济带、人力资本投入高和科技财政投入大的地区,新质生产力的碳减排效应更显著。(4)空间效应检验表明,在新质生产力作用下,碳排放存在空间溢出效应,且新质生产力在本地和邻近地区的碳减排效应仍旧存在。该研究厘清了新质生产力与碳排放之间的关系,可为我国低碳减排提供经验证据。
This research,drawing on panel data across 31 provincial administrative areas in China from 2012 to 2022,empirically investigates the impact effect,mechanism,and spatial spillover effect of new quality productivity on carbon emissions through the lens of industrial structure rationalization.The results indicate that:(1)New quality productivity has a significant negative impact on carbon emissions.(2)Results of mechanism analysis indicate that new quality productivity reduces carbon emissions by promoting the rationalization of industrial structure.(3)The heterogeneity test shows that the effect of new quality productivity on carbon emission reduction is significant in the areas of the non-Yangtze River economic belt and the areas with high human capital input and large financial investment in science and technology.(4)The spatial effect test shows that under the effect of new quality productivity,there is a spatial spillover effect of carbon emission,and the carbon emission reduction effect of new quality productivity still exists in local and adjacent areas.The research conclusions clarify the relationship between new quality productivity and carbon emissions,providing empirical evidence for the low-carbon emission reduction in China.
作者
欧辉
刘沛峣
张禹罗
OU Hui;LIU Pei-yao;ZHANG Yu-luo(School of Mathematics and Statistics,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China)
出处
《湖南师范大学自然科学学报》
北大核心
2025年第1期28-36,共9页
Journal of Natural Science of Hunan Normal University
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(11701175)
湖南省教育厅科学研究项目重点项目(23A0063)。
关键词
新质生产力
产业结构合理化
碳排放
中介效应
空间效应
new quality productivity
rationalization of industrial structure
carbon emissions
mediation effect
spatial effect
