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基于加速遗传算法的区域生态足迹预测一般回归模型 被引量:4
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作者 吴开亚 金菊良 《中山大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第2期118-122,共5页
为选择区域生态足迹的预测模型结构的合理形式,提出把一般回归模型(GRA)作为区域生态足迹预测模型结构,用加速遗传算法(AGA)进行高精度GRA统一建模的新方案,从而建立了基于AGA的区域生态足迹一般回归模型(AGA-GRA)。AGA-GRA的实证结果说... 为选择区域生态足迹的预测模型结构的合理形式,提出把一般回归模型(GRA)作为区域生态足迹预测模型结构,用加速遗传算法(AGA)进行高精度GRA统一建模的新方案,从而建立了基于AGA的区域生态足迹一般回归模型(AGA-GRA)。AGA-GRA的实证结果说明:在2005-2020年期间,安徽省人均生态足迹将由1.724 6升至2.148 6 hm2,平均年增长率为1.48%;人均生态承载力由0.415 8降至0.338 8 hm2,平均年减少率为1.36%;人均生态赤字由1.323 7升至1.876 0 hm2,平均年增长率为2.35%;万元GDP生态足迹由1.836 7降至0.395 9 hm2/万元,平均年减少率为9.73%。安徽省的人均生态赤字仍在不断加剧,说明现有的社会经济发展模式是不可持续的。AGA-GRA克服了普通时间序列分析和回归分析模型中预先确定简单函数曲线则预测误差大而预先确定复杂曲线则模型求解困难之间的矛盾,提高了模型拟合和预测能力。 展开更多
关键词 生态足迹 动态预测 一般回归模型 加速遗传算法
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Theory of numerical modeling of constitutive relation for geotechnical materials
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作者 Wang Jingtao 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2008年第3期31-36,共6页
Under the direction of the principle of interaction between plastic volumetric and shear strains, the general expression of constitutive relation for geotechnical materials has been derived within the framework of irr... Under the direction of the principle of interaction between plastic volumetric and shear strains, the general expression of constitutive relation for geotechnical materials has been derived within the framework of irreversible thermo- dynamics. The constitutive modeling, in fact, is an inverse problem that belongs to the medium inverse problems of model identification, which is expressed as a reversion of coefficient of differential equation. Thus the constitutive modeling of geotechnical materials will become the reversion of coefficient functions of the general expression of constitutive relation, which is carried out in the stress field (p,q) by means Of numerical techniques, so that is called numerical modeling. Applying the numerical modeling, a number of plasticity-based models for clay and sand have been obtained, which are able to characterize the fundamental features of deformation for geotechnieal materials. In addition, the approach of numerical modeling also can be applied to the situation of unsaturated soils by means of the Bishop's effective stress formula and Khalili's expression of effective stress parameter. 展开更多
关键词 the principle of interaction between plastic volumetric and shear strains the approach of numerical modeling constitutive relation unsaturated soll matrix suction
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