使用中尺度大气模式WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model),采用TRMM/TMI海温观测资料,进行不同时间分辨率海温对台风"梅花"过程的影响试验;同时,通过HadISST1资料分析得到东中国海近50年海温变化分布情况;根据温度变...使用中尺度大气模式WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model),采用TRMM/TMI海温观测资料,进行不同时间分辨率海温对台风"梅花"过程的影响试验;同时,通过HadISST1资料分析得到东中国海近50年海温变化分布情况;根据温度变化率计算了SST分布整体变化后的"梅花"过程响应情况;定量计算了水文要素受影响情况。数值试验显示,与使用NCEP/NCAR的SST试验相比,使用日平均SST试验结果的台风路径偏差减少6.7%,台风强度偏差减少55.1%,后报精度明显提高。SST整体增加后,海面向大气辐射通量显著增加,海面气压与风速在台风衰减不同阶段对下垫面SST变化的敏感性不同,台风波浪能和风暴潮由于SST增加造成的台风影响,也有不同程度的增加。展开更多
Interannual variations in the surface and subsurface tropical Indian Ocean were studied using HadlSST and SODA datasets. Wind and heat flux datasets were used to discuss the mechanisms for these variations. Our result...Interannual variations in the surface and subsurface tropical Indian Ocean were studied using HadlSST and SODA datasets. Wind and heat flux datasets were used to discuss the mechanisms for these variations. Our results indicate that the surface and subsurface variations of the tropical Indian Ocean during Indian Ocean Dipole （IOD） events are significantly different. A prominent characteristic of the eastern pole is the SSTA rebound after a cooling process, which does not take place at the subsurface layer. In the western pole, the surface anomalies last longer than the subsurface anomalies. The subsurface anomalies are strongly correlated with ENSO, while the relationship between the surface anomalies and ENSO is much weaker. And the subsurface anomalies of the two poles are negatively correlated while they are positively correlated at the surface layer. The wind and surface heat flux analysis suggests that the thermocline depth variations are mainly determined by wind stress fields, while the heat flux effect is important on SST.展开更多
Using the SST data series in tropical ocean (20N ~ 20S, 50E ~ 80W) during 1951 ~ 1997 to calculate its monthly mean square deviation, the work obtains results showing that interannual SST variability of the Pacific is...Using the SST data series in tropical ocean (20N ~ 20S, 50E ~ 80W) during 1951 ~ 1997 to calculate its monthly mean square deviation, the work obtains results showing that interannual SST variability of the Pacific is more significant than that of the Indian Ocean, especially near the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (165W～90W, 6N～6S), where it ranges from 2C to 4C. The interannual SST variability is obvious in November and December but small in March and April. The interannual variability of 搘arm pool?SST is not so obvious as that of the eastern equatorial Pacific. However, interannual SST variability of the Indian Ocean ranges from 1C to 2C or so, being smaller than that of the Pacific. In the Indian Ocean, interannual SST variability of the Southern Hemisphere is more obvious than that of the Northern Hemisphere. According to above characteristics of interannual SST variability, the key sectors are determined.展开更多
The mass stream function of zonal mean meridional circulation is calculated in terms of NCEP/NCAR monthly meridional wind speed and vertical velocity, and the climatic and anomalous features of zonal mean SST and meri...The mass stream function of zonal mean meridional circulation is calculated in terms of NCEP/NCAR monthly meridional wind speed and vertical velocity, and the climatic and anomalous features of zonal mean SST and meridional circulation are investigated. Results show that (1) a joint ascending branch of Northern and Southern Hadley circulation is on the side of the summer hemisphere near the equator ,being well consistent with the extremum of[]SST,and a strong descending by the winter-hemispheric side.(2)El Ni駉-related][SSTin low latitudes is an important outer-forcing source for anomaly meridional circulation, which is affected by seasonal variation of basic airflow and[]SST, and interannual and interdecadal changes of []SST.展开更多
以WRF(weather research forecasting)模式模拟了登陆后再入海0713号台风韦帕,同时考虑了中纬度过程不变与过程时变的各类SST海温场对模拟效果的作用。试验中重点分析热力影响因子[即模式的两种微物理方案LIN(Purdue Lin scheme)、WSM6(...以WRF(weather research forecasting)模式模拟了登陆后再入海0713号台风韦帕,同时考虑了中纬度过程不变与过程时变的各类SST海温场对模拟效果的作用。试验中重点分析热力影响因子[即模式的两种微物理方案LIN(Purdue Lin scheme)、WSM6(WRF single-moment 6-class scheme)]以及动力影响因子(即模式的台风BOGUS模型)对各类SST海温场的反应。分别并综合研究了热力、动力、及海温因子对再入海台风的路径及强度模拟所产生的影响。多项成组试验显示,台风过程时变的SST场的使用能够更好地诊断和模拟台风区海气相互作用并改善对再入海台风路径与强度的预测。对0713号台风模拟而言,微物理过程WSM6方案给出的结果(包括路径、气压、风力、以及感热和潜热等要素)比LIN方案更好。采用BOGUS模型对再入海台风的路径模拟有较明显改善。在台风再入海阶段,模拟的海气界面感热通量与潜热通量分布显示,正的感热通量高值区为台风生存提供能量,并对台风移动有较好的指示性;台风潜热通量高值区位于台风风力辐合增强区,此处潜热高值区与台风结构配合,对入海台风活动的持续有正贡献。而过程时变的SST场的使用对台风预测是有利的,其中6h时变的SST较日平均SST效果更显著。展开更多
文摘使用中尺度大气模式WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model),采用TRMM/TMI海温观测资料,进行不同时间分辨率海温对台风"梅花"过程的影响试验;同时,通过HadISST1资料分析得到东中国海近50年海温变化分布情况;根据温度变化率计算了SST分布整体变化后的"梅花"过程响应情况;定量计算了水文要素受影响情况。数值试验显示,与使用NCEP/NCAR的SST试验相比,使用日平均SST试验结果的台风路径偏差减少6.7%,台风强度偏差减少55.1%,后报精度明显提高。SST整体增加后,海面向大气辐射通量显著增加,海面气压与风速在台风衰减不同阶段对下垫面SST变化的敏感性不同,台风波浪能和风暴潮由于SST增加造成的台风影响,也有不同程度的增加。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.40876001 and40890152)the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(Grant No.NCET-08-0510)the State Key Development Program for National Basic Research Program of China under contract(Grant No.2007CB-411803)
文摘Interannual variations in the surface and subsurface tropical Indian Ocean were studied using HadlSST and SODA datasets. Wind and heat flux datasets were used to discuss the mechanisms for these variations. Our results indicate that the surface and subsurface variations of the tropical Indian Ocean during Indian Ocean Dipole （IOD） events are significantly different. A prominent characteristic of the eastern pole is the SSTA rebound after a cooling process, which does not take place at the subsurface layer. In the western pole, the surface anomalies last longer than the subsurface anomalies. The subsurface anomalies are strongly correlated with ENSO, while the relationship between the surface anomalies and ENSO is much weaker. And the subsurface anomalies of the two poles are negatively correlated while they are positively correlated at the surface layer. The wind and surface heat flux analysis suggests that the thermocline depth variations are mainly determined by wind stress fields, while the heat flux effect is important on SST.
基金Mechanisms of Important Climatic Disasters in China and the Research on Prediction Theory a key national development and planning project for fundamental scientific study Effects of SST Variation in tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean on the Wetness in R
文摘Using the SST data series in tropical ocean (20N ~ 20S, 50E ~ 80W) during 1951 ~ 1997 to calculate its monthly mean square deviation, the work obtains results showing that interannual SST variability of the Pacific is more significant than that of the Indian Ocean, especially near the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (165W～90W, 6N～6S), where it ranges from 2C to 4C. The interannual SST variability is obvious in November and December but small in March and April. The interannual variability of 搘arm pool?SST is not so obvious as that of the eastern equatorial Pacific. However, interannual SST variability of the Indian Ocean ranges from 1C to 2C or so, being smaller than that of the Pacific. In the Indian Ocean, interannual SST variability of the Southern Hemisphere is more obvious than that of the Northern Hemisphere. According to above characteristics of interannual SST variability, the key sectors are determined.
文摘The mass stream function of zonal mean meridional circulation is calculated in terms of NCEP/NCAR monthly meridional wind speed and vertical velocity, and the climatic and anomalous features of zonal mean SST and meridional circulation are investigated. Results show that (1) a joint ascending branch of Northern and Southern Hadley circulation is on the side of the summer hemisphere near the equator ,being well consistent with the extremum of[]SST,and a strong descending by the winter-hemispheric side.(2)El Ni駉-related][SSTin low latitudes is an important outer-forcing source for anomaly meridional circulation, which is affected by seasonal variation of basic airflow and[]SST, and interannual and interdecadal changes of []SST.
文摘以WRF(weather research forecasting)模式模拟了登陆后再入海0713号台风韦帕,同时考虑了中纬度过程不变与过程时变的各类SST海温场对模拟效果的作用。试验中重点分析热力影响因子[即模式的两种微物理方案LIN(Purdue Lin scheme)、WSM6(WRF single-moment 6-class scheme)]以及动力影响因子(即模式的台风BOGUS模型)对各类SST海温场的反应。分别并综合研究了热力、动力、及海温因子对再入海台风的路径及强度模拟所产生的影响。多项成组试验显示,台风过程时变的SST场的使用能够更好地诊断和模拟台风区海气相互作用并改善对再入海台风路径与强度的预测。对0713号台风模拟而言,微物理过程WSM6方案给出的结果(包括路径、气压、风力、以及感热和潜热等要素)比LIN方案更好。采用BOGUS模型对再入海台风的路径模拟有较明显改善。在台风再入海阶段,模拟的海气界面感热通量与潜热通量分布显示,正的感热通量高值区为台风生存提供能量,并对台风移动有较好的指示性;台风潜热通量高值区位于台风风力辐合增强区,此处潜热高值区与台风结构配合,对入海台风活动的持续有正贡献。而过程时变的SST场的使用对台风预测是有利的,其中6h时变的SST较日平均SST效果更显著。
