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Review and Prospects of the Global Earthquake Model Project ( GEM)
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作者 Li Changlong Wu Jian +1 位作者 Xu Weijin Gao Mengtan 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2017年第1期1-11,共11页
This paper reviewed the main target,functions,tool( Open Quake software) and research achievements of the Global Earthquake Model( GEM) Foundation,and made a simple prospect on the development and application of proje... This paper reviewed the main target,functions,tool( Open Quake software) and research achievements of the Global Earthquake Model( GEM) Foundation,and made a simple prospect on the development and application of projects of GEM in the future. Learning from GEM and Open Quake is helpful to improve the seismic hazard model of China and enhance the scientificity of the seismic hazard assessment for metropolitans and major engineering facilities near major seismogenic structures. 展开更多
关键词 global earthquake model (gem Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment(PSHA) Seismic risk assessment OpenQuake virtual machine
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Fast and accurate earthquake location within complex medium using a hybrid global-local inversion approach
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作者 Chaoying Bai Rui Zhao Stewart Greenhalgh 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2009年第5期435-448,共14页
A novel hybrid approach for earthquake location is proposed which uses a combined coarse global search and fine local inversion with a minimum search routine, plus an examination of the root mean squares (RMS) error... A novel hybrid approach for earthquake location is proposed which uses a combined coarse global search and fine local inversion with a minimum search routine, plus an examination of the root mean squares (RMS) error distribution. The method exploits the advantages of network ray tracing and robust formulation of the Frrchet derivatives to simultaneously update all possible initial source parameters around most local minima (including the global minimum) in the solution space, and finally to determine the likely global solution. Several synthetic examples involving a 3-D complex velocity model and a challenging source-receiver layout are used to demonstrate the capability of the newly-developed method. This new global-local hybrid solution technique not only incorporates the significant benefits of our recently published hypocenter determination procedure for multiple earthquake parameters, but also offers the attractive features of global optimal searching in the RMS travel time error distribution. Unlike the traditional global search method, for example, the Monte Carlo approach, where millions of tests have to be done to fmd the final global solution, the new method only conducts a matrix inversion type local search but does it multiple times simultaneously throughout the model volume to seek a global solution. The search is aided by inspection of the RMS error distribution. Benchmark tests against two popular approaches, the direct grid search method and the oct-tree important sampling method, indicate that the hybrid global-local inversion yields comparable location accuracy and is not sensitive to modest level of noise data, but more importantly it offers two-order of magnitude speed-up in computational effort. Such an improvement, combined with high accuracy, make it a promising hypocenter determination scheme in earthquake early warning, tsunami early warning, rapid hazard assessment and emergency response after strong earthquake occurrence. 展开更多
关键词 complex velocity model SPM ray tracing matrix inversion earthquake location a global solution RMS error inspection
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Coseismic and postseismic slip ruptures for 2015Mw 6.4 Pishan earthquake constrained by static GPS solutions 被引量:5
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作者 Ping He Qi Wang +2 位作者 Kaihua Ding Jie Li Rong Zou 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2016年第5期323-328,共6页
On 3 July 2015, a Mw 6.4 earthquake occurred on a blind fault struck Pishan, Xinjiang,China. By combining Crustal Movement Observation Network of China(CMONOC) and other Static Global Positioning System(GPS) sites... On 3 July 2015, a Mw 6.4 earthquake occurred on a blind fault struck Pishan, Xinjiang,China. By combining Crustal Movement Observation Network of China(CMONOC) and other Static Global Positioning System(GPS) sites surrounding Pishan region, it provides a rare chance for us to constrain the slip rupture for such a moderate event. The maximum displacement is up to 12 cm, 2 cm for coseismic and postseismic deformation, respectively,and both the deformation patterns show a same direction moving northeastward. With rectangular dislocation model, a magnitude of Mw6.48, Mw6.3 is calculated based on coseismic, postseismic deformation respectively. Our result indicates the western Kunlun range is still moving toward Tarim Basin followed by an obvious postseismic slip associated with this earthquake. To determine a more reasonable model for postseismic deformation, a longer GPS dataset will be needed. 展开更多
关键词 Pishan earthquake global Positioning System (GPS) Coseismic deformation Postseismic deformation model inversion
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Prediction of near-field strong ground motions for scenario earthquakes on active fault
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作者 王海云 谢礼立 +1 位作者 陶夏新 李捷 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第1期11-17,共7页
A method to predict near-field strong ground motions for scenario earthquakes on active faults is proposed. First, macro-source parameters characterizing the entire source area, i.e., global source parameters, includi... A method to predict near-field strong ground motions for scenario earthquakes on active faults is proposed. First, macro-source parameters characterizing the entire source area, i.e., global source parameters, including fault length, fault width, rupture area, average slip on the fault plane, etc., are estimated by seismogeology survey, seismicity and seismic scaling laws. Second, slip distributions characterizing heterogeneity or roughness on the fault plane, i.e., local source parameters, are reproduced/evaluated by the hybrid slip model. Finally, the finite fault source model, developed from both the global and local source parameters, is combined with the stochastically synthetic technique of ground motion using the dynamic comer frequency based on seismology. The proposed method is applied to simulate the acceleration time histories on three base-rock stations during the 1994 Northridge earthquake. Comparisons between the predicted and recorded acceleration time histories show that the method is feasible and practicable. 展开更多
关键词 active fault scenario earthquake near-field strong ground motion global source parameters local source parameters asperity model k square slip model.
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全球地震模型(GEM)研究进展综述及应用前景展望 被引量:3
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作者 李昌珑 吴健 +1 位作者 徐伟进 高孟潭 《震灾防御技术》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第3期582-591,共10页
本文综述了全球地震模型(GEM)组织的工作目标、主要职能、工具(OpenQuake软件)和研究成果,并对GEM今后的发展和应用趋势进行了展望。借鉴GEM和OpenQuake,可以进一步完善我国的地震危险性分析模型,提升大型活动断裂带附近大城市和重大工... 本文综述了全球地震模型(GEM)组织的工作目标、主要职能、工具(OpenQuake软件)和研究成果,并对GEM今后的发展和应用趋势进行了展望。借鉴GEM和OpenQuake,可以进一步完善我国的地震危险性分析模型,提升大型活动断裂带附近大城市和重大工程设施地震危险性分析的科学性。 展开更多
关键词 全球地震模型(gem) 概率地震危险性分析PSHA 地震风险评估 OpenQuake虚拟机
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GPS观测得到的大地震前兆地壳形变震例 被引量:6
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作者 顾国华 王武星 《地震科学进展》 2020年第10期30-39,共10页
综合介绍2008年汶川大地震以来,GPS观测得到的国内外10多次6—9级,不同构造、不同类型的大地震前兆地壳形变震例:2008年汶川8级大地震、2011年东日本9级巨震、2013年芦山7级,直至2020年6月墨西哥7.4级地震和7月美国阿拉斯加州以南海域7.... 综合介绍2008年汶川大地震以来,GPS观测得到的国内外10多次6—9级,不同构造、不同类型的大地震前兆地壳形变震例:2008年汶川8级大地震、2011年东日本9级巨震、2013年芦山7级,直至2020年6月墨西哥7.4级地震和7月美国阿拉斯加州以南海域7.8级地震等。利用GPS连续观测站区域参考框架水平位移时间序列和水平位移场,特别是水平位移向量时间序列的研究证明,同震水平位移是研究地震前兆形变存在的关键;利用垂直位移和水平位移向量时间序列、同震垂直位移及同震水平位移向量的分解,揭示地震弹性回跳真实方式;提出了符合GPS观测和岩石破裂试验结果的地震压-剪弹性回跳模型;根据已有震例,提出预报不同震级地震的可能性和监测临震前兆形变的GNSS站布设设想。 展开更多
关键词 GPS 地震预测 地壳形变 同震位移 弹性回跳模型
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巨灾影响的全球性:以东日本大地震的经济影响为例 被引量:11
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作者 孟永昌 王铸 +1 位作者 吴吉东 史培军 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第6期1-8,共8页
近年来,巨灾经济影响的全球性受到了社会各界越来越多的关注。通过构建混合国际投入产出模型,从需求端的角度定量评估了东日本大地震对世界各国各个生产部门的经济影响。结果表明:(1)东日本大地震对世界其他各国的经济产量影响非常显著... 近年来,巨灾经济影响的全球性受到了社会各界越来越多的关注。通过构建混合国际投入产出模型,从需求端的角度定量评估了东日本大地震对世界各国各个生产部门的经济影响。结果表明:(1)东日本大地震对世界其他各国的经济产量影响非常显著,主要集中在金属制品业、交通运输设备制造业以及电子与光学设备制造业等;(2)在受影响的国家和地区中,以中国、美国、韩国、澳大利亚、德国等最为显著,且不同国家和地区受到影响的部门结构也各不相同。研究从区域间产业关联的角度揭示了巨灾影响的全球性问题,对于全球尺度上的巨灾风险管理具有参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 巨灾 全球化 国际投入产出模型 经济影响 东日本大地震
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