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Optimizing Stock Market Prediction Using Long Short-Term Memory Networks
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作者 Nadia Afrin Ritu Samsun Nahar Khandakar +1 位作者 Md. Masum Bhuiyan Md. Imdadul Islam 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2025年第2期207-222,共16页
Deep learning plays a vital role in real-life applications, for example object identification, human face recognition, speech recognition, biometrics identification, and short and long-term forecasting of data. The ma... Deep learning plays a vital role in real-life applications, for example object identification, human face recognition, speech recognition, biometrics identification, and short and long-term forecasting of data. The main objective of our work is to predict the market performance of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) on day closing price using different Deep Learning techniques. In this study, we have used the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) network to forecast the data of DSE for the convenience of shareholders. We have enforced LSTM networks to train data as well as forecast the future time series that has differentiated with test data. We have computed the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value to scrutinize the error between the forecasted value and test data that diminished the error by updating the LSTM networks. As a consequence of the renovation of the network, the LSTM network provides tremendous performance which outperformed the existing works to predict stock market prices. 展开更多
关键词 long short-term memory (lstm) Stock Market PREDICTION Time Series Analysis Deep Learning
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Fault detection and health monitoring of high-power thyristor converter based on long short-term memory in nuclear fusion
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作者 Ling ZHANG Ge GAO Li JIANG 《Plasma Science and Technology》 2025年第4期64-73,共10页
This research focuses on solving the fault detection and health monitoring of high-power thyristor converter.In terms of the critical role of thyristor converter in nuclear fusion system,a method based on long short-t... This research focuses on solving the fault detection and health monitoring of high-power thyristor converter.In terms of the critical role of thyristor converter in nuclear fusion system,a method based on long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network model is proposed to monitor the operational state of the converter and accurately detect faults as they occur.By sampling and processing a large number of thyristor converter operation data,the LSTM model is trained to identify and detect abnormal state,and the power supply health status is monitored.Compared with traditional methods,LSTM model shows higher accuracy and abnormal state detection ability.The experimental results show that this method can effectively improve the reliability and safety of the thyristor converter,and provide a strong guarantee for the stable operation of the nuclear fusion reactor. 展开更多
关键词 fault detection and health monitoring high-power supply thyristor converter long short-term memory(lstm) nuclear fusion(Some figures may appear in colour only in the online journal)
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Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network-Based Acoustic Model Using Connectionist Temporal Classification on a Large-Scale Training Corpus 被引量:9
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作者 Donghyun Lee Minkyu Lim +4 位作者 Hosung Park Yoseb Kang Jeong-Sik Park Gil-Jin Jang Ji-Hwan Kim 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第9期23-31,共9页
A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a force... A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a forced aligned Hidden Markov Model(HMM) state sequence obtained from the GMM-based acoustic model. Therefore, it requires a long computation time for training both the GMM-based acoustic model and a deep learning-based acoustic model. In order to solve this problem, an acoustic model using CTC algorithm is proposed. CTC algorithm does not require the GMM-based acoustic model because it does not use the forced aligned HMM state sequence. However, previous works on a LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC used a small-scale training corpus. In this paper, the LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC is trained on a large-scale training corpus and its performance is evaluated. The implemented acoustic model has a performance of 6.18% and 15.01% in terms of Word Error Rate(WER) for clean speech and noisy speech, respectively. This is similar to a performance of the acoustic model based on the hybrid method. 展开更多
关键词 acoustic model connectionisttemporal classification LARGE-SCALE trainingcorpus long short-term memory recurrentneural network
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Slope stability prediction based on a long short-term memory neural network:comparisons with convolutional neural networks,support vector machines and random forest models 被引量:6
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作者 Faming Huang Haowen Xiong +4 位作者 Shixuan Chen Zhitao Lv Jinsong Huang Zhilu Chang Filippo Catani 《International Journal of Coal Science & Technology》 EI CAS CSCD 2023年第2期83-96,共14页
The numerical simulation and slope stability prediction are the focus of slope disaster research.Recently,machine learning models are commonly used in the slope stability prediction.However,these machine learning mode... The numerical simulation and slope stability prediction are the focus of slope disaster research.Recently,machine learning models are commonly used in the slope stability prediction.However,these machine learning models have some problems,such as poor nonlinear performance,local optimum and incomplete factors feature extraction.These issues can affect the accuracy of slope stability prediction.Therefore,a deep learning algorithm called Long short-term memory(LSTM)has been innovatively proposed to predict slope stability.Taking the Ganzhou City in China as the study area,the landslide inventory and their characteristics of geotechnical parameters,slope height and slope angle are analyzed.Based on these characteristics,typical soil slopes are constructed using the Geo-Studio software.Five control factors affecting slope stability,including slope height,slope angle,internal friction angle,cohesion and volumetric weight,are selected to form different slope and construct model input variables.Then,the limit equilibrium method is used to calculate the stability coefficients of these typical soil slopes under different control factors.Each slope stability coefficient and its corresponding control factors is a slope sample.As a result,a total of 2160 training samples and 450 testing samples are constructed.These sample sets are imported into LSTM for modelling and compared with the support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF)and convo-lutional neural network(CNN).The results show that the LSTM overcomes the problem that the commonly used machine learning models have difficulty extracting global features.Furthermore,LSTM has a better prediction performance for slope stability compared to SVM,RF and CNN models. 展开更多
关键词 Slope stability prediction long short-term memory Deep learning Geo-Studio software Machine learning model
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Multi-head attention-based long short-term memory model for speech emotion recognition 被引量:1
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作者 Zhao Yan Zhao Li +3 位作者 Lu Cheng Li Sunan Tang Chuangao Lian Hailun 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2022年第2期103-109,共7页
To fully make use of information from different representation subspaces,a multi-head attention-based long short-term memory(LSTM)model is proposed in this study for speech emotion recognition(SER).The proposed model ... To fully make use of information from different representation subspaces,a multi-head attention-based long short-term memory(LSTM)model is proposed in this study for speech emotion recognition(SER).The proposed model uses frame-level features and takes the temporal information of emotion speech as the input of the LSTM layer.Here,a multi-head time-dimension attention(MHTA)layer was employed to linearly project the output of the LSTM layer into different subspaces for the reduced-dimension context vectors.To provide relative vital information from other dimensions,the output of MHTA,the output of feature-dimension attention,and the last time-step output of LSTM were utilized to form multiple context vectors as the input of the fully connected layer.To improve the performance of multiple vectors,feature-dimension attention was employed for the all-time output of the first LSTM layer.The proposed model was evaluated on the eNTERFACE and GEMEP corpora,respectively.The results indicate that the proposed model outperforms LSTM by 14.6%and 10.5%for eNTERFACE and GEMEP,respectively,proving the effectiveness of the proposed model in SER tasks. 展开更多
关键词 speech emotion recognition long short-term memory(lstm) multi-head attention mechanism frame-level features self-attention
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Navigation jamming signal recognition based on long short-term memory neural networks 被引量:3
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作者 FU Dong LI Xiangjun +2 位作者 MOU Weihua MA Ming OU Gang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第4期835-844,共10页
This paper introduces the time-frequency analyzed long short-term memory(TF-LSTM) neural network method for jamming signal recognition over the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS) receiver. The method introduces ... This paper introduces the time-frequency analyzed long short-term memory(TF-LSTM) neural network method for jamming signal recognition over the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS) receiver. The method introduces the long shortterm memory(LSTM) neural network into the recognition algorithm and combines the time-frequency(TF) analysis for signal preprocessing. Five kinds of navigation jamming signals including white Gaussian noise(WGN), pulse jamming, sweep jamming, audio jamming, and spread spectrum jamming are used as input for training and recognition. Since the signal parameters and quantity are unknown in the actual scenario, this work builds a data set containing multiple kinds and parameters jamming to train the TF-LSTM. The performance of this method is evaluated by simulations and experiments. The method has higher recognition accuracy and better robustness than the existing methods, such as LSTM and the convolutional neural network(CNN). 展开更多
关键词 satellite navigation jamming recognition time-frequency(TF)analysis long short-term memory(lstm)
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Prediction of discharge in a tidal river using the LSTM-based sequence-to-sequence models
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作者 Zhigao Chen Yan Zong +2 位作者 Zihao Wu Zhiyu Kuang Shengping Wang 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第7期40-51,共12页
The complexity of river-tide interaction poses a significant challenge in predicting discharge in tidal rivers.Long short-term memory(LSTM)networks excel in processing and predicting crucial events with extended inter... The complexity of river-tide interaction poses a significant challenge in predicting discharge in tidal rivers.Long short-term memory(LSTM)networks excel in processing and predicting crucial events with extended intervals and time delays in time series data.Additionally,the sequence-to-sequence(Seq2Seq)model,known for handling temporal relationships,adapting to variable-length sequences,effectively capturing historical information,and accommodating various influencing factors,emerges as a robust and flexible tool in discharge forecasting.In this study,we introduce the application of LSTM-based Seq2Seq models for the first time in forecasting the discharge of a tidal reach of the Changjiang River(Yangtze River)Estuary.This study focuses on discharge forecasting using three key input characteristics:flow velocity,water level,and discharge,which means the structure of multiple input and single output is adopted.The experiment used the discharge data of the whole year of 2020,of which the first 80%is used as the training set,and the last 20%is used as the test set.This means that the data covers different tidal cycles,which helps to test the forecasting effect of different models in different tidal cycles and different runoff.The experimental results indicate that the proposed models demonstrate advantages in long-term,mid-term,and short-term discharge forecasting.The Seq2Seq models improved by 6%-60%and 5%-20%of the relative standard deviation compared to the harmonic analysis models and improved back propagation neural network models in discharge prediction,respectively.In addition,the relative accuracy of the Seq2Seq model is 1%to 3%higher than that of the LSTM model.Analytical assessment of the prediction errors shows that the Seq2Seq models are insensitive to the forecast lead time and they can capture characteristic values such as maximum flood tide flow and maximum ebb tide flow in the tidal cycle well.This indicates the significance of the Seq2Seq models. 展开更多
关键词 discharge prediction long short-term memory networks sequence-to-sequence(Seq2Seq)model tidal river back propagation neural network Changjiang River(Yangtze River)Estuary
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基于差分处理的EMD-LSTM短时空中交通流量预测
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作者 周睿 邱爽 +2 位作者 孟双杰 李明 张强 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2025年第2期842-849,共8页
随着中国民航的飞速发展,终端区空中交通流量与日俱增,短时空中交通流量预测对于精准实施空中交通流量管理具有重要意义。为提高短时空中交通流量预测的准确性,提出了基于数据差分处理(data differential processing)的经验模态分解(emp... 随着中国民航的飞速发展,终端区空中交通流量与日俱增,短时空中交通流量预测对于精准实施空中交通流量管理具有重要意义。为提高短时空中交通流量预测的准确性,提出了基于数据差分处理(data differential processing)的经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)和长短期记忆(long short-term memory,LSTM)相结合的短时空中交通流量预测模型。首先,该模型对短时空中交通流量序列进行经验模态分解;其次,为了提高预测精度,运用数据差分对时间序列进行平稳化处理;最后,将平稳处理后的序列分别输入LSTM网络模型进行预测,经过数据重构,得到最终的短时流量预测值。利用郑州新郑国际机场数据进行了实验验证,结果表明,该模型预测精度和拟合程度的典型指标RSME、MAE、R^(2)分别为0.29%,0.08%、96.40%,相较于其他方法,预测精度大幅度提高,可以为短时空中交通流量预测提供有益参考。 展开更多
关键词 空中交通流量管理 短时空中交通流量预测 经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition EMD) 数据差分处理(data differential processing) 长短期记忆(long short-term memory lstm)
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基于SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型的城市用水量实时预测
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作者 李轩 吴永强 +2 位作者 王佳伟 杨伟超 张天洋 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2025年第3期36-39,6,共5页
为提高气象波动下城市用水量预测精度,通过季节性分解的趋势—季节性—残差程序(STL)将城市时用水量分解为趋势分量、季节性分量和残差分量3部分,使用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)对季节性部分进行捕捉,利用支持向量机(SVM)提取趋... 为提高气象波动下城市用水量预测精度,通过季节性分解的趋势—季节性—残差程序(STL)将城市时用水量分解为趋势分量、季节性分量和残差分量3部分,使用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)对季节性部分进行捕捉,利用支持向量机(SVM)提取趋势部分与气温、降水、风速、气压和相对湿度5个气象因素之间的关系,利用长短时记忆网络(LSTM)对波动性明显的残差部分进行关系捕捉,构建了SVM-SARIMA-LSTM用水量实时预测模型,并利用衡水市3个月时用水量数据和气象数据训练SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型,以随后1周的实测数据作为验证集对模型预测性能进行评估。结果表明,SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型的平均绝对百分比误差(E_(MAP))比SARIMA模型低4.502%,均方根误差(E_(RMSE))降低了39.084%,确定系数R^(2)提高了9.965%,最大绝对误差(E_(maxA))减小了55.946%,具有较好的应用价值。所建模型通过整合关键气象因素,准确地捕捉到城市用水量的季节性趋势及非季节性波动,展现了优良的泛化性。 展开更多
关键词 SARIMA模型 支持向量机 长短时记忆神经网络 SVM-SARIMA-lstm模型 STL分解程序 气象因素 用水量预测
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Deep Learning-Based Stock Price Prediction Using LSTM Model
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作者 Jiayi Mao Zhiyong Wang 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第5期176-185,共10页
The stock market is a vital component of the broader financial system,with its dynamics closely linked to economic growth.The challenges associated with analyzing and forecasting stock prices have persisted since the ... The stock market is a vital component of the broader financial system,with its dynamics closely linked to economic growth.The challenges associated with analyzing and forecasting stock prices have persisted since the inception of financial markets.By examining historical transaction data,latent opportunities for profit can be uncovered,providing valuable insights for both institutional and individual investors to make more informed decisions.This study focuses on analyzing historical transaction data from four banks to predict closing price trends.Various models,including decision trees,random forests,and Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)networks,are employed to forecast stock price movements.Historical stock transaction data serves as the input for training these models,which are then used to predict upward or downward stock price trends.The study’s empirical results indicate that these methods are effective to a degree in predicting stock price movements.The LSTM-based deep neural network model,in particular,demonstrates a commendable level of predictive accuracy.This conclusion is reached following a thorough evaluation of model performance,highlighting the potential of LSTM models in stock market forecasting.The findings offer significant implications for advancing financial forecasting approaches,thereby improving the decision-making capabilities of investors and financial institutions. 展开更多
关键词 Autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model long short-term memory(lstm)network Forecasting Stock market
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基于BO-LSTM的排露沟流域气象水文演变分析及径流预测模型建立
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作者 康永德 陈佩 +3 位作者 许尔文 任小凤 敬文茂 张娟 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第4期1-11,共11页
【目的】为揭示祁连山排露沟流域水文情势演变特征,并且为流域未来的水资源管理和优化配置提供依据和参考【方法】根据祁连山野外观测站2000—2019年实测径流和水文资料,采用线性趋势法、Pettitt检验、小波分析等方法,开展了降水与气温... 【目的】为揭示祁连山排露沟流域水文情势演变特征,并且为流域未来的水资源管理和优化配置提供依据和参考【方法】根据祁连山野外观测站2000—2019年实测径流和水文资料,采用线性趋势法、Pettitt检验、小波分析等方法,开展了降水与气温对径流量变化的影响,并建立了BO-LSTM排露沟流域径流预测模型。【结果】结果显示:(1)2000—2019年排露沟流域降水、气温和径流呈现两段式的上升趋势,分界点在2010年,降水和径流,第一阶段上升趋势均高于第二阶段,斜率依次为10.74、3.16;气温则相反,第二阶段高于第一阶段,斜率为0.11。并且降水、气温和径流的MK突变检验z值均大于0。(2)降水量在5—10月对径流量变化的贡献率较大;而气温在12月—次年4月对径流变化的贡献率大。(3)排露沟流域气温主要有3 a、14 a两个主周期,其中第一主周期为14 a;径流存在19 a、9 a和3 a三个主周期,其中第一主周期为19 a;降水主要存在4 a、11 a两个主周期,第一主周期为11 a。(4)BO-LSTM排露沟径流预测模型,精度R 2为0.63,均方根误差为14047 m 3,模型在径流量较小月份的预测精度大于径流量较大的月份。【结论】近20年来排露沟流域的降水、气温及径流均呈上升趋势;排露沟流域径流、降水及气温均存在明显的周期性;气温和降水是影响排露沟流域径流的重要因素;径流预测模型可以适用于排露沟流域。上述研究结果为祁连山水资源效应研究和内陆河流域水资源预测提供科学支撑。 展开更多
关键词 水文 水资源 径流演变 排露沟流域 径流预测 神经网络 lstm(long short-term memory)模型 贝叶斯优化算法
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Device Anomaly Detection Algorithm Based on Enhanced Long Short-Term Memory Network
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作者 罗辛 陈静 +1 位作者 袁德鑫 杨涛 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 CAS 2023年第5期548-559,共12页
The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-... The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-term memory(LSTM)is proposed.The algorithm first reduces the dimensionality of the device sensor data by principal component analysis(PCA),extracts the strongly correlated variable data among the multidimensional sensor data with the lowest possible information loss,and then uses the enhanced stacked LSTM to predict the extracted temporal data,thus improving the accuracy of anomaly detection.To improve the efficiency of the anomaly detection,a genetic algorithm(GA)is used to adjust the magnitude of the enhancements made by the LSTM model.The validation of the actual data from the pumps shows that the algorithm has significantly improved the recall rate and the detection speed of device anomaly detection,with the recall rate of 97.07%,which indicates that the algorithm is effective and efficient for device anomaly detection in the actual production environment. 展开更多
关键词 anomaly detection production equipment genetic algorithm(GA) long short-term memory(lstm) principal component analysis(PCA)
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Intelligent modeling method for OV models in DoDAF2.0 based on knowledge graph
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作者 ZHANG Yue JIANG Jiang +3 位作者 YANG Kewei WANG Xingliang XU Chi LI Minghao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第1期139-154,共16页
Architecture framework has become an effective method recently to describe the system of systems(SoS)architecture,such as the United States(US)Department of Defense Architecture Framework Version 2.0(DoDAF2.0).As a vi... Architecture framework has become an effective method recently to describe the system of systems(SoS)architecture,such as the United States(US)Department of Defense Architecture Framework Version 2.0(DoDAF2.0).As a viewpoint in DoDAF2.0,the operational viewpoint(OV)describes operational activities,nodes,and resource flows.The OV models are important for SoS architecture development.However,as the SoS complexity increases,constructing OV models with traditional methods exposes shortcomings,such as inefficient data collection and low modeling standards.Therefore,we propose an intelligent modeling method for five OV models,including operational resource flow OV-2,organizational relationships OV-4,operational activity hierarchy OV-5a,operational activities model OV-5b,and operational activity sequences OV-6c.The main idea of the method is to extract OV architecture data from text and generate interoperable OV models.First,we construct the OV meta model based on the DoDAF2.0 meta model(DM2).Second,OV architecture named entities is recognized from text based on the bidirectional long short-term memory and conditional random field(BiLSTM-CRF)model.And OV architecture relationships are collected with relationship extraction rules.Finally,we define the generation rules for OV models and develop an OV modeling tool.We use unmanned surface vehicles(USV)swarm target defense SoS architecture as a case to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the intelligent modeling method. 展开更多
关键词 system of systems(SoS)architecture operational viewpoint(OV)model meta model bidirectional long short-term memory and conditional random field(Bilstm-CRF) model generation systems modeling language
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State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Term Memory
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作者 Inioluwa Obisakin Chikodinaka Vanessa Ekeanyanwu 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 CAS 2022年第8期1366-1382,共17页
Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate e... Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate estimation and prediction of the state of health of these batteries have attracted wide attention due to the adverse negative effect on vehicle safety. In this paper, both machine and deep learning models were used to estimate the state of health of lithium-ion batteries. The paper introduces the definition of battery health status and its importance in the electric vehicle industry. Based on the data preprocessing and visualization analysis, three features related to actual battery capacity degradation are extracted from the data. Two learning models, SVR and LSTM were employed for the state of health estimation and their respective results are compared in this paper. The mean square error and coefficient of determination were the two metrics for the performance evaluation of the models. The experimental results indicate that both models have high estimation results. However, the metrics indicated that the SVR was the overall best model. 展开更多
关键词 Support Vector Regression (SVR) long short-term memory (lstm) Network State of Health (SOH) Estimation
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基于增强Bi-LSTM的船舶运动模型辨识
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作者 张浩晢 杨智博 +2 位作者 焦绪国 吕成兴 雷鹏 《中国舰船研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期76-84,共9页
[目的]针对基于数据驱动的船舶建模策略获得的模型预测精度低、适应性差等特点,提出一种增强的双向长短期记忆(Bi-LSTM)神经网络用于船舶的高精度非参数化建模。[方法]首先,利用Bi-LSTM神经网络的特点,实现对序列双向时间维度的特征提... [目的]针对基于数据驱动的船舶建模策略获得的模型预测精度低、适应性差等特点,提出一种增强的双向长短期记忆(Bi-LSTM)神经网络用于船舶的高精度非参数化建模。[方法]首先,利用Bi-LSTM神经网络的特点,实现对序列双向时间维度的特征提取。基于此,设计一维卷积神经网络(1D-CNN)提取序列的空间维度特征。然后,采用多头自注意力机制(MHSA)多角度对序列进行自适应加权处理。利用KVLCC2船舶航行数据,将所提增强Bi-LSTM模型与支持向量机(SVM)、门控循环单元(GRU)、长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)模型的预测效果进行对比。[结果]所提增强Bi-LSTM模型在测试集中均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)性能指标分别低于0.015和0.011,决定系数(R2)高于0.99913,预测精度显著高于SVM,GRU,LSTM模型。[结论]增强Bi-LSTM模型泛化性能优异,预测稳定性及预测精度高,有效实现了船舶的运动模型辨识。 展开更多
关键词 系统辨识 非参数化建模 一维卷积神经网络 双向长短期记忆神经网络 多头自注意力机制
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Prophet-LSTM组合模型在运输航空征候预测中的应用 被引量:2
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作者 杜红兵 邢梦柯 赵德超 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期1878-1885,共8页
为准确预测中国运输航空征候万时率,提出了一种将时间序列模型和神经网络模型组合的预测方法。首先,利用2008年1月—2020年12月的运输航空征候万时率数据建立Prophet模型,使用RStudio软件进行模型拟合,获取运输航空征候万时率的线性部分... 为准确预测中国运输航空征候万时率,提出了一种将时间序列模型和神经网络模型组合的预测方法。首先,利用2008年1月—2020年12月的运输航空征候万时率数据建立Prophet模型,使用RStudio软件进行模型拟合,获取运输航空征候万时率的线性部分;其次,利用长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)建模,获取运输航空征候万时率的非线性部分;最后,利用方差倒数法建立Prophet-LSTM组合模型,使用建立的组合模型对2021年1—12月运输航空征候万时率进行预测,将预测结果与实际值进行对比验证。结果表明,Prophet-LSTM组合模型的EMA、EMAP、ERMS分别为0.0973、16.1285%、0.1287。相较于已有的自回归移动平均(Auto Regression Integrated Moving Average,ARIMA)+反向传播神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)组合模型和GM(1,1)+ARIMA+LSTM组合模型,Prophet-LSTM组合模型的EMA、EMAP、ERMS分别减小了0.0259、10.4874百分点、0.0143和0.0128、2.0599百分点、0.0086,验证了Prophet-LSTM组合模型的预测精度更高,性能更优良。 展开更多
关键词 安全社会工程 运输航空征候 Prophet模型 长短期记忆网络(lstm)模型 组合预测模型
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基于Transformer-LSTM的闽南语唇语识别
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作者 曾蔚 罗仙仙 王鸿伟 《泉州师范学院学报》 2024年第2期10-17,共8页
针对端到端句子级闽南语唇语识别的问题,提出一种基于Transformer和长短时记忆网络(LSTM)的编解码模型.编码器采用时空卷积神经网络及Transformer编码器用于提取唇读序列时空特征,解码器采用长短时记忆网络并结合交叉注意力机制用于文... 针对端到端句子级闽南语唇语识别的问题,提出一种基于Transformer和长短时记忆网络(LSTM)的编解码模型.编码器采用时空卷积神经网络及Transformer编码器用于提取唇读序列时空特征,解码器采用长短时记忆网络并结合交叉注意力机制用于文本序列预测.最后,在自建闽南语唇语数据集上进行实验.实验结果表明:模型能有效地提高唇语识别的准确率. 展开更多
关键词 唇语识别 闽南语 TRANSFORMER 长短时记忆网络(lstm) 用时空卷积神经网络 注意力机制 端到端模型
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基于SARIMA‑LSTM模型的航空旅客运输市场需求分析与预测
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作者 田勇 董斌 +3 位作者 于楠 孙梦圆 李千千 郭梁 《指挥信息系统与技术》 2024年第5期1-8,共8页
市场需求预测是航空公司开展生产活动的前提,科学合理的预测结果能为航空公司降低成本、提高效益。首先,选取影响航空旅客运输市场需求的因素,并对其进行相关性分析;其次,采用季节性差分自回归移动平均(SARIMA)模型和长短期记忆(LSTM)... 市场需求预测是航空公司开展生产活动的前提,科学合理的预测结果能为航空公司降低成本、提高效益。首先,选取影响航空旅客运输市场需求的因素,并对其进行相关性分析;其次,采用季节性差分自回归移动平均(SARIMA)模型和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络模型,对航空旅客运输市场需求量进行特征分析,构建了基于SARIMA模型、LSTM网络模型的组合预测(SARIMA⁃LSTM)模型,提高市场需求时间序列预测的精度;最后,以北京市航空运输市场为例,分析结果显示,SARIMA⁃LSTM组合模型的预测准确性高于单一模型,对于市场需求的预测准确率较高。 展开更多
关键词 季节性差分自回归移动平均(SARIMA)模型 长短期记忆(lstm)网络模型 SARIMA⁃lstm组合模型 需求预测
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基于LSTM模型的船舶材料成本滚动预测
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作者 潘燕华 李公卿 王平 《造船技术》 2024年第3期71-77,共7页
船舶建造周期长、材料成本占比大,易受大宗商品价格指数和汇率等多个因素的影响,造成实际完工成本与报价估算存在较大误差的情况。采用灰色关联分析(Grey Correlation Analysis,GCA)方法识别材料成本的影响因素,基于长短期记忆网络(Long... 船舶建造周期长、材料成本占比大,易受大宗商品价格指数和汇率等多个因素的影响,造成实际完工成本与报价估算存在较大误差的情况。采用灰色关联分析(Grey Correlation Analysis,GCA)方法识别材料成本的影响因素,基于长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模型构建船舶材料成本滚动预测模型,并使用某造船企业53艘64000 t散货船63个月的材料成本数据和对应的影响因素数据进行试验分析。结果表明,预测数据与实际数据误差在可接受范围内,可证明所选择方法和构建模型的有效性。研究结果对制造过程的成本实时预测和控制具有现实意义。 展开更多
关键词 船舶 材料成本 滚动预测 长短期记忆网络模型 灰色关联分析
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Short-time prediction for traffic flow based on wavelet de-noising and LSTM model 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Qingrong LI Tongwei ZHU Changfeng 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS CSCD 2021年第2期195-207,共13页
Aiming at the problem that some existing traffic flow prediction models are only for a single road segment and the model input data are not pre-processed,a heuristic threshold algorithm is used to de-noise the origina... Aiming at the problem that some existing traffic flow prediction models are only for a single road segment and the model input data are not pre-processed,a heuristic threshold algorithm is used to de-noise the original traffic flow data after wavelet decomposition.The correlation coefficients of road traffic flow data are calculated and the data compression matrix of road traffic flow is constructed.Data de-noising minimizes the interference of data to the model,while the correlation analysis of road network data realizes the prediction at the road network level.Utilizing the advantages of long short term memory(LSTM)network in time series data processing,the compression matrix is input into the constructed LSTM model for short-term traffic flow prediction.The LSTM-1 and LSTM-2 models were respectively trained by de-noising processed data and original data.Through simulation experiments,different prediction times were set,and the prediction results of the prediction model proposed in this paper were compared with those of other methods.It is found that the accuracy of the LSTM-2 model proposed in this paper increases by 10.278%on average compared with other prediction methods,and the prediction accuracy reaches 95.58%,which proves that the short-term traffic flow prediction method proposed in this paper is efficient. 展开更多
关键词 short-term traffic flow prediction deep learning wavelet denoising network matrix compression long short term memory(lstm)network
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