We construct a fuzzy varying coefficient bilinear regression model to deal with the interval financial data and then adopt the least-squares method based on symmetric fuzzy number space. Firstly, we propose a varying ...We construct a fuzzy varying coefficient bilinear regression model to deal with the interval financial data and then adopt the least-squares method based on symmetric fuzzy number space. Firstly, we propose a varying coefficient model on the basis of the fuzzy bilinear regression model. Secondly, we develop the least-squares method according to the complete distance between fuzzy numbers to estimate the coefficients and test the adaptability of the proposed model by means of generalized likelihood ratio test with SSE composite index. Finally, mean square errors and mean absolutely errors are employed to evaluate and compare the fitting of fuzzy auto regression, fuzzy bilinear regression and fuzzy varying coefficient bilinear regression models, and also the forecasting of three models. Empirical analysis turns out that the proposed model has good fitting and forecasting accuracy with regard to other regression models for the capital market.展开更多
This article is concerned with the estimating problem of semiparametric varyingcoefficient partially linear regression models. By combining the local polynomial and least squares procedures Fan and Huang （2005） prop...This article is concerned with the estimating problem of semiparametric varyingcoefficient partially linear regression models. By combining the local polynomial and least squares procedures Fan and Huang （2005） proposed a profile least squares estimator for the parametric component and established its asymptotic normality. We further show that the profile least squares estimator can achieve the law of iterated logarithm. Moreover, we study the estimators of the functions characterizing the non-linear part as well as the error variance. The strong convergence rate and the law of iterated logarithm are derived for them, respectively.展开更多
In this article, we consider the varying coefficient multiplicative regression model, which is very useful to model the positive response. The criterion of least product relative error(LPRE) is extended to the varying...In this article, we consider the varying coefficient multiplicative regression model, which is very useful to model the positive response. The criterion of least product relative error(LPRE) is extended to the varying coefficient multiplicative regression model by kernel smoothing techniques. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. Some numerical simulations are carried out to assess the performance of the proposed estimator. As an illustration, the ethanol data is analyzed.展开更多
This article considers a semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear binary regression model. The semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear regression binary model which is a generalization of binary...This article considers a semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear binary regression model. The semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear regression binary model which is a generalization of binary regression model and varying-coefficient regression model that allows one to explore the possibly nonlinear effect of a certain covariate on the response variable. A Sieve maximum likelihood estimation method is proposed and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are discussed. One of our main objects is to estimate nonparametric component and the unknowen parameters simultaneously. It is easier to compute, and the required computation burden is much less than that of the existing two-stage estimation method. Under some mild conditions, the estimators are shown to be strongly consistent. The convergence rate of the estimator for the unknown smooth function is obtained, and the estimator for the unknown parameter is shown to be asymptotically efficient and normally distributed. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the performance of the proposed method.展开更多
The varying-coefficient partially linear regression model is proposed by combining nonparametric and varying-coefficient regression procedures. Wong, et al. （2008） proposed the model and gave its estimation by the l...The varying-coefficient partially linear regression model is proposed by combining nonparametric and varying-coefficient regression procedures. Wong, et al. （2008） proposed the model and gave its estimation by the local linear method. In this paper its inference is addressed. Based on these estimates, the generalized like- lihood ratio test is established. Under the null hypotheses the normalized test statistic follows a x2-distribution asymptotically, with the scale constant and the degrees of freedom being independent of the nuisance param- eters. This is the Wilks phenomenon. Furthermore its asymptotic power is also derived, which achieves the optimal rate of convergence for nonparametric hypotheses testing. A simulation and a real example are used to evaluate the performances of the testing procedures empirically.展开更多
The authors propose a V_(N,p) test statistic for testing finite-order serial correlation in asemiparametric varying coefficient partially linear errors-in-variables model.The test statistic is shownto have asymptotic ...The authors propose a V_(N,p) test statistic for testing finite-order serial correlation in asemiparametric varying coefficient partially linear errors-in-variables model.The test statistic is shownto have asymptotic normal distribution under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation.Some MonteCarlo experiments are conducted to examine the finite sample performance of the proposed V_(N,p) teststatistic.Simulation results confirm that the proposed test performs satisfactorily in estimated sizeand power.展开更多
Some fundamental issues on statistical inferences relating to varying-coefficient regression models are addressed and studied. An exact testing procedure is proposed for checking the goodness of fit of a varying-coeff...Some fundamental issues on statistical inferences relating to varying-coefficient regression models are addressed and studied. An exact testing procedure is proposed for checking the goodness of fit of a varying-coefficient model fited by the locally weighted regression technique versus an ordinary linear regression model. Also, an appropriate statistic for testing variation of model parameters over the locations where the observations are collected is constructed and a formal testing approach which is essential to exploring spatial non-stationarity in geography science is suggested.展开更多
Longitudinal trends of observations can be estimated using the generalized multivariate analysis of variance (GMANOVA) model proposed by [10]. In the present paper, we consider estimating the trends nonparametrically ...Longitudinal trends of observations can be estimated using the generalized multivariate analysis of variance (GMANOVA) model proposed by [10]. In the present paper, we consider estimating the trends nonparametrically using known basis functions. Then, as in nonparametric regression, an overfitting problem occurs. [13] showed that the GMANOVA model is equivalent to the varying coefficient model with non-longitudinal covariates. Hence, as in the case of the ordinary linear regression model, when the number of covariates becomes large, the estimator of the varying coefficient becomes unstable. In the present paper, we avoid the overfitting problem and the instability problem by applying the concept behind penalized smoothing spline regression and multivariate generalized ridge regression. In addition, we propose two criteria to optimize hyper parameters, namely, a smoothing parameter and ridge parameters. Finally, we compare the ordinary least square estimator and the new estimator.展开更多
文摘We construct a fuzzy varying coefficient bilinear regression model to deal with the interval financial data and then adopt the least-squares method based on symmetric fuzzy number space. Firstly, we propose a varying coefficient model on the basis of the fuzzy bilinear regression model. Secondly, we develop the least-squares method according to the complete distance between fuzzy numbers to estimate the coefficients and test the adaptability of the proposed model by means of generalized likelihood ratio test with SSE composite index. Finally, mean square errors and mean absolutely errors are employed to evaluate and compare the fitting of fuzzy auto regression, fuzzy bilinear regression and fuzzy varying coefficient bilinear regression models, and also the forecasting of three models. Empirical analysis turns out that the proposed model has good fitting and forecasting accuracy with regard to other regression models for the capital market.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar (70825004)National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (10731010 and 10628104)+3 种基金the National Basic Research Program (2007CB814902)Creative Research Groups of China (10721101)Leading Academic Discipline Program, the 10th five year plan of 211 Project for Shanghai University of Finance and Economics211 Project for Shanghai University of Financeand Economics (the 3rd phase)
文摘This article is concerned with the estimating problem of semiparametric varyingcoefficient partially linear regression models. By combining the local polynomial and least squares procedures Fan and Huang （2005） proposed a profile least squares estimator for the parametric component and established its asymptotic normality. We further show that the profile least squares estimator can achieve the law of iterated logarithm. Moreover, we study the estimators of the functions characterizing the non-linear part as well as the error variance. The strong convergence rate and the law of iterated logarithm are derived for them, respectively.
文摘In this article, we consider the varying coefficient multiplicative regression model, which is very useful to model the positive response. The criterion of least product relative error(LPRE) is extended to the varying coefficient multiplicative regression model by kernel smoothing techniques. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. Some numerical simulations are carried out to assess the performance of the proposed estimator. As an illustration, the ethanol data is analyzed.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.10771017,10971015,10901020)Key Project of MOE,PRC (Grant No.309007)
文摘This article considers a semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear binary regression model. The semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear regression binary model which is a generalization of binary regression model and varying-coefficient regression model that allows one to explore the possibly nonlinear effect of a certain covariate on the response variable. A Sieve maximum likelihood estimation method is proposed and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are discussed. One of our main objects is to estimate nonparametric component and the unknowen parameters simultaneously. It is easier to compute, and the required computation burden is much less than that of the existing two-stage estimation method. Under some mild conditions, the estimators are shown to be strongly consistent. The convergence rate of the estimator for the unknown smooth function is obtained, and the estimator for the unknown parameter is shown to be asymptotically efficient and normally distributed. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the performance of the proposed method.
基金supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China(11171112,11201190)Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China(20130076110004)+1 种基金Program of Shanghai Subject Chief Scientist(14XD1401600)the 111 Project of China(B14019)
文摘The varying-coefficient partially linear regression model is proposed by combining nonparametric and varying-coefficient regression procedures. Wong, et al. （2008） proposed the model and gave its estimation by the local linear method. In this paper its inference is addressed. Based on these estimates, the generalized like- lihood ratio test is established. Under the null hypotheses the normalized test statistic follows a x2-distribution asymptotically, with the scale constant and the degrees of freedom being independent of the nuisance param- eters. This is the Wilks phenomenon. Furthermore its asymptotic power is also derived, which achieves the optimal rate of convergence for nonparametric hypotheses testing. A simulation and a real example are used to evaluate the performances of the testing procedures empirically.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 10871217 and 40574003the Science and Technology Project of Chongqing Education Committee under Grant No. KJ080609+1 种基金the Doctor's Start-up Research Fund under Grant No. 08-52204the Youth Science Research Fund of Chongging Technology and Business University under Grant No. 0852008
文摘The authors propose a V_(N,p) test statistic for testing finite-order serial correlation in asemiparametric varying coefficient partially linear errors-in-variables model.The test statistic is shownto have asymptotic normal distribution under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation.Some MonteCarlo experiments are conducted to examine the finite sample performance of the proposed V_(N,p) teststatistic.Simulation results confirm that the proposed test performs satisfactorily in estimated sizeand power.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60075001) and Xi'anJiaotong University Natural Science Foundation.
文摘Some fundamental issues on statistical inferences relating to varying-coefficient regression models are addressed and studied. An exact testing procedure is proposed for checking the goodness of fit of a varying-coefficient model fited by the locally weighted regression technique versus an ordinary linear regression model. Also, an appropriate statistic for testing variation of model parameters over the locations where the observations are collected is constructed and a formal testing approach which is essential to exploring spatial non-stationarity in geography science is suggested.
文摘Longitudinal trends of observations can be estimated using the generalized multivariate analysis of variance (GMANOVA) model proposed by [10]. In the present paper, we consider estimating the trends nonparametrically using known basis functions. Then, as in nonparametric regression, an overfitting problem occurs. [13] showed that the GMANOVA model is equivalent to the varying coefficient model with non-longitudinal covariates. Hence, as in the case of the ordinary linear regression model, when the number of covariates becomes large, the estimator of the varying coefficient becomes unstable. In the present paper, we avoid the overfitting problem and the instability problem by applying the concept behind penalized smoothing spline regression and multivariate generalized ridge regression. In addition, we propose two criteria to optimize hyper parameters, namely, a smoothing parameter and ridge parameters. Finally, we compare the ordinary least square estimator and the new estimator.
