Appropriately characterising the mixed space-time relations of the contagion process caused by hybrid space and time factors remains the primary challenge in COVID-19 forecasting.However,in previous deep learning mode...Appropriately characterising the mixed space-time relations of the contagion process caused by hybrid space and time factors remains the primary challenge in COVID-19 forecasting.However,in previous deep learning models for epidemic forecasting,spatial and temporal variations are captured separately.A unified model is developed to cover all spatio-temporal relations.However,this measure is insufficient for modelling the complex spatio-temporal relations of infectious disease transmission.A dynamic adaptive spatio-temporal graph network(DASTGN)is proposed based on attention mechanisms to improve prediction accuracy.In DASTGN,complex spatio-temporal relations are depicted by adaptively fusing the mixed space-time effects and dynamic space-time dependency structure.This dual-scale model considers the time-specific,space-specific,and direct effects of the propagation process at the fine-grained level.Furthermore,the model characterises impacts from various space-time neighbour blocks under time-varying interventions at the coarse-grained level.The performance comparisons on the three COVID-19 datasets reveal that DASTGN achieves state-of-the-art results with a maximum improvement of 17.092%in the root mean-square error and 11.563%in the mean absolute error.Experimental results indicate that the mechanisms of designing DASTGN can effectively detect some spreading characteristics of COVID-19.The spatio-temporal weight matrices learned in each proposed module reveal diffusion patterns in various scenarios.In conclusion,DASTGN has successfully captured the dynamic spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19,and considering multiple dynamic space-time relationships is essential in epidemic forecasting.展开更多
本文提出一种基于多尺度时空优化的空气质量预测方法(multi-scale spatial-temporal network for air quality prediction,MSSTN-AQP),结合空气质量系统中存在的长短期时间依赖关系和动态空间依赖性,提高长期空气质量预测的准确性。首先...本文提出一种基于多尺度时空优化的空气质量预测方法(multi-scale spatial-temporal network for air quality prediction,MSSTN-AQP),结合空气质量系统中存在的长短期时间依赖关系和动态空间依赖性,提高长期空气质量预测的准确性。首先,通过构建多尺度时空特征提取模块,从多源异构数据中提取时空特征。其次,构建动态空间特征提取模块。通过将图卷积网络与注意力机制进行有效结合,捕捉空气质量网络中的全局空间特征,用于对多种空间依赖关系的联合建模。最后,构建时间特征提取模块,对Transformer模型进行改进与优化。自适应时间Transformer模块主要用于模拟跨多个时间步长的双向时间依赖关系。此外,将上述时空特征提取模块进行有效集成化,构建端到端的空气质量预测模型。为了验证模型的有效性,在两个真实数据集中进行实验验证。实验结果表明,MSSTN-AQP在预测精度上更具优势,尤其是在长期的空气质量预测任务中优势更加明显。展开更多
针对中短码长的低密度奇偶校验规则码(Low Density Parity Check,LDPC)规则码,该文采用消息更新规则改进和因子图变换方法,提出一种低复杂度差分迭代译码算法。在置信传播算法的基础上,仅当变量节点的消息值振荡时引入差分映射策略,得...针对中短码长的低密度奇偶校验规则码(Low Density Parity Check,LDPC)规则码,该文采用消息更新规则改进和因子图变换方法,提出一种低复杂度差分迭代译码算法。在置信传播算法的基础上,仅当变量节点的消息值振荡时引入差分映射策略,得出一种选择性的置信差分规则,自适应地调整校验节点消息的归一化系数,提高译码性能。同时,采用展开校验节点的图变换方法,将计算复杂度从随节点度分布指数性增长降至线性增长。分别在高斯白噪声信道和瑞利衰落信道下进行仿真实验,结果表明该算法和基于图变换的其他低复杂度译码算法相比,性能优越且复杂度低,和对数似然比的置信传播算法(LLR-BP)相比,高信噪比区域内的性能优异,低信噪比区域内的计算复杂度明显降低。展开更多
混杂系统包含有离散子系统和连续子系统,系统中变量转换复杂,参数存在不确定性,导致故障诊断的误报率较高。针对此问题,以单相全桥逆变器为研究对象,提出运用线性分式变换的键合图(Bond Graph in Linear Fractional Transformation,BG-L...混杂系统包含有离散子系统和连续子系统,系统中变量转换复杂,参数存在不确定性,导致故障诊断的误报率较高。针对此问题,以单相全桥逆变器为研究对象,提出运用线性分式变换的键合图(Bond Graph in Linear Fractional Transformation,BG-LFT),建立系统参数不确定性混合诊断键合图(Diagnostic Hybrid Bond Graph,DHBG)模型,并根据模型产生自适应阈值。基于混杂键合图的因果关系和结构特性,从DHBG中导出所有有效模式下的鲁棒解析冗余关系,结合自适应阈值评价残差,实现混杂系统的鲁棒故障诊断。在20-sim中进行建模仿真,仿真结果验证了该方法的有效性。展开更多
基金Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS,Grant/Award Number:2021103Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Grant/Award Number:XDC02060500。
文摘Appropriately characterising the mixed space-time relations of the contagion process caused by hybrid space and time factors remains the primary challenge in COVID-19 forecasting.However,in previous deep learning models for epidemic forecasting,spatial and temporal variations are captured separately.A unified model is developed to cover all spatio-temporal relations.However,this measure is insufficient for modelling the complex spatio-temporal relations of infectious disease transmission.A dynamic adaptive spatio-temporal graph network(DASTGN)is proposed based on attention mechanisms to improve prediction accuracy.In DASTGN,complex spatio-temporal relations are depicted by adaptively fusing the mixed space-time effects and dynamic space-time dependency structure.This dual-scale model considers the time-specific,space-specific,and direct effects of the propagation process at the fine-grained level.Furthermore,the model characterises impacts from various space-time neighbour blocks under time-varying interventions at the coarse-grained level.The performance comparisons on the three COVID-19 datasets reveal that DASTGN achieves state-of-the-art results with a maximum improvement of 17.092%in the root mean-square error and 11.563%in the mean absolute error.Experimental results indicate that the mechanisms of designing DASTGN can effectively detect some spreading characteristics of COVID-19.The spatio-temporal weight matrices learned in each proposed module reveal diffusion patterns in various scenarios.In conclusion,DASTGN has successfully captured the dynamic spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19,and considering multiple dynamic space-time relationships is essential in epidemic forecasting.
文摘本文提出一种基于多尺度时空优化的空气质量预测方法(multi-scale spatial-temporal network for air quality prediction,MSSTN-AQP),结合空气质量系统中存在的长短期时间依赖关系和动态空间依赖性,提高长期空气质量预测的准确性。首先,通过构建多尺度时空特征提取模块,从多源异构数据中提取时空特征。其次,构建动态空间特征提取模块。通过将图卷积网络与注意力机制进行有效结合,捕捉空气质量网络中的全局空间特征,用于对多种空间依赖关系的联合建模。最后,构建时间特征提取模块,对Transformer模型进行改进与优化。自适应时间Transformer模块主要用于模拟跨多个时间步长的双向时间依赖关系。此外,将上述时空特征提取模块进行有效集成化,构建端到端的空气质量预测模型。为了验证模型的有效性,在两个真实数据集中进行实验验证。实验结果表明,MSSTN-AQP在预测精度上更具优势,尤其是在长期的空气质量预测任务中优势更加明显。
文摘针对中短码长的低密度奇偶校验规则码(Low Density Parity Check,LDPC)规则码,该文采用消息更新规则改进和因子图变换方法,提出一种低复杂度差分迭代译码算法。在置信传播算法的基础上,仅当变量节点的消息值振荡时引入差分映射策略,得出一种选择性的置信差分规则,自适应地调整校验节点消息的归一化系数,提高译码性能。同时,采用展开校验节点的图变换方法,将计算复杂度从随节点度分布指数性增长降至线性增长。分别在高斯白噪声信道和瑞利衰落信道下进行仿真实验,结果表明该算法和基于图变换的其他低复杂度译码算法相比,性能优越且复杂度低,和对数似然比的置信传播算法(LLR-BP)相比,高信噪比区域内的性能优异,低信噪比区域内的计算复杂度明显降低。
文摘混杂系统包含有离散子系统和连续子系统,系统中变量转换复杂,参数存在不确定性,导致故障诊断的误报率较高。针对此问题,以单相全桥逆变器为研究对象,提出运用线性分式变换的键合图(Bond Graph in Linear Fractional Transformation,BG-LFT),建立系统参数不确定性混合诊断键合图(Diagnostic Hybrid Bond Graph,DHBG)模型,并根据模型产生自适应阈值。基于混杂键合图的因果关系和结构特性,从DHBG中导出所有有效模式下的鲁棒解析冗余关系,结合自适应阈值评价残差,实现混杂系统的鲁棒故障诊断。在20-sim中进行建模仿真,仿真结果验证了该方法的有效性。
