We developed a modified stochastic finite-fault method for estimating strong ground motions.An adjustment to the dynamic corner frequency was introduced,which accounted for the effect of the location of the subfault r...We developed a modified stochastic finite-fault method for estimating strong ground motions.An adjustment to the dynamic corner frequency was introduced,which accounted for the effect of the location of the subfault relative to the hypocenter and rupture propagation direction,to account for the influence of the rupture propagation direction on the subfault dynamic corner frequency.By comparing the peak ground acceleration(PGA),pseudo-absolute response spectra acceleration(PSA,damping ratio of 5%),and duration,the results of the modified and existing methods were compared,demonstrating that our proposed adjustment to the dynamic corner frequency can accurately reflect the rupture directivity effect.We applied our modified method to simulate near-field strong motions within 150 km of the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake rupture.Our modified method performed well over a broad period range,particularly at 0.04-4 s.The total deviations of the stochastic finite-fault method(EXSIM)and the modified EXSIM were 0.1676 and 0.1494,respectively.The modified method can effectively account for the influence of the rupture propagation direction and provide more realistic ground motion estimations for earthquake disaster mitigation.展开更多
The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a tota...The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a total of 200 kinematic source models for the Ludian event,which are characterized by the heterogeneous slip on the conjugated ruptured fault and the slip-dependent spreading of the rupture front.The results indicated that the heterogeneous slip and the spatial extent of the ruptured fault play dominant roles in the spatial distribution of ground motions in the near-fault area.The peak ground accelerations(PGAs)and 5%-damped pseudospectral accelerations(PSAs)at periods shorter than 0.5 s estimated on the resulting synthetics generally match well with the observations at stations with Joyner-Boore distances(RJB)greater than 20 km.The synthetic PGVs and PSAs at periods of 0.5 s and 0.75 s are in good agreement with predicted medians by the Yu14 model(Yu et al.,2014).However,the synthetic results are generally much lower than the predicted medians by BSSA14 model(Boore et al.,2014).Moreover,the ground motion variability caused by the randomness in the source rupture process was evaluated by these synthetics.The standard deviations of PSAs on the base-10 logarithmic scale,Sigma[log10(PSA)],are closely dependent on either the spectral period or the RJB.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]remains a constant approximately 0.55 at periods shorter than 0.1 s,and then increase continuously up to^0.13 as the period increases from 0.1 to 2.0 s.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods of 0.1‒2.0 s show the downward tendency as the RJB values increase.However,the Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods shorter than 0.1 s decrease as the RJB values increase up to^50 km,and then increase with the increasing RJB.Furthermore,we found that the ground-motion variability shows the significant dependence on the azimuth.展开更多
Streptococcus suis(S.suis)is a major disease impacting pig farming globally.It can also be transferred to humans by eating raw pork.A comprehensive study was recently carried out to determine the indices throughmultip...Streptococcus suis(S.suis)is a major disease impacting pig farming globally.It can also be transferred to humans by eating raw pork.A comprehensive study was recently carried out to determine the indices throughmultiple geographic regions in China.Methods:The well-posed theorems were employed to conduct a thorough analysis of the model’s feasible features,including positivity,boundedness equilibria,reproduction number,and parameter sensitivity.Stochastic Euler,Runge Kutta,and EulerMaruyama are some of the numerical techniques used to replicate the behavior of the streptococcus suis infection in the pig population.However,the dynamic qualities of the suggested model cannot be restored using these techniques.Results:For the stochastic delay differential equations of the model,the non-standard finite difference approach in the sense of stochasticity is developed to avoid several problems such as negativity,unboundedness,inconsistency,and instability of the findings.Results from traditional stochastic methods either converge conditionally or diverge over time.The stochastic non-negative step size convergence nonstandard finite difference(NSFD)method unconditionally converges to the model’s true states.Conclusions:This study improves our understanding of the dynamics of streptococcus suis infection using versions of stochastic with delay approaches and opens up new avenues for the study of cognitive processes and neuronal analysis.Theplotted interaction behaviour and new solution comparison profiles.展开更多
Based on theWorld Health Organization(WHO),Meningitis is a severe infection of the meninges,the membranes covering the brain and spinal cord.It is a devastating disease and remains a significant public health challeng...Based on theWorld Health Organization(WHO),Meningitis is a severe infection of the meninges,the membranes covering the brain and spinal cord.It is a devastating disease and remains a significant public health challenge.This study investigates a bacterial meningitis model through deterministic and stochastic versions.Four-compartment population dynamics explain the concept,particularly the susceptible population,carrier,infected,and recovered.The model predicts the nonnegative equilibrium points and reproduction number,i.e.,the Meningitis-Free Equilibrium(MFE),and Meningitis-Existing Equilibrium(MEE).For the stochastic version of the existing deterministicmodel,the twomethodologies studied are transition probabilities and non-parametric perturbations.Also,positivity,boundedness,extinction,and disease persistence are studiedrigorouslywiththe helpofwell-known theorems.Standard and nonstandard techniques such as EulerMaruyama,stochastic Euler,stochastic Runge Kutta,and stochastic nonstandard finite difference in the sense of delay have been presented for computational analysis of the stochastic model.Unfortunately,standard methods fail to restore the biological properties of the model,so the stochastic nonstandard finite difference approximation is offered as an efficient,low-cost,and independent of time step size.In addition,the convergence,local,and global stability around the equilibria of the nonstandard computational method is studied by assuming the perturbation effect is zero.The simulations and comparison of the methods are presented to support the theoretical results and for the best visualization of results.展开更多
Proximal gradient descent and its accelerated version are resultful methods for solving the sum of smooth and non-smooth problems. When the smooth function can be represented as a sum of multiple functions, the stocha...Proximal gradient descent and its accelerated version are resultful methods for solving the sum of smooth and non-smooth problems. When the smooth function can be represented as a sum of multiple functions, the stochastic proximal gradient method performs well. However, research on its accelerated version remains unclear. This paper proposes a proximal stochastic accelerated gradient (PSAG) method to address problems involving a combination of smooth and non-smooth components, where the smooth part corresponds to the average of multiple block sums. Simultaneously, most of convergence analyses hold in expectation. To this end, under some mind conditions, we present an almost sure convergence of unbiased gradient estimation in the non-smooth setting. Moreover, we establish that the minimum of the squared gradient mapping norm arbitrarily converges to zero with probability one.展开更多
The stochastic boundary element method(SBEM)is developed in this paper for 3D problems with body forces and reliability analysis of engineering structures.The integral equations of SBEM are established by the approach...The stochastic boundary element method(SBEM)is developed in this paper for 3D problems with body forces and reliability analysis of engineering structures.The integral equations of SBEM are established by the approach of partial derivation with respect to stochastic variables,considering the yield limit,rotation speeds and material density to be the fundamental stochastic variables.Through analyzing a numerical example and a turbo-disk of an aeroengine,the results show that the method developed is successful.展开更多
Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate b...Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization.展开更多
In this paper, three existing source spectral models for stochastic finite-fault modeling of ground motion were reviewed. These three models were used to calculate the far-field received energy at a site from a vertic...In this paper, three existing source spectral models for stochastic finite-fault modeling of ground motion were reviewed. These three models were used to calculate the far-field received energy at a site from a vertical fault and the mean spectral ratio over 15 stations of the Northridge earthquake, and then compared. From the comparison, a necessary measure was observed to maintain the far-field received energy independent of subfault size and avoid overestimation of the long- period spectra/level. Two improvements were made to one of the three models （i.e., the model based on dynamic comer frequency） as follows： （i） a new method to compute the subfault comer frequency was proposed, where the subfault comer frequency is determined based on a basic value calculated from the total seismic moment of the entire fault and an increment depending on the seismic moment assigned to the subfault; and （ii） the difference of the radiation energy from each suhfault was considered into the scaling factor. The improved model was also compared with the unimproved model through the far-field received energy and the mean spectral ratio. The comparison proves that the improved model allows the received energy to be more independent of subfault size than the unimproved model, and decreases the overestimation degree of the long-period spectral amplitude.展开更多
A new fuzzy stochastic finite element method based on the fuzzy factor method and random factor method is given and the analysis of structural dynamic characteristic for fuzzy stochastic truss structures is presented....A new fuzzy stochastic finite element method based on the fuzzy factor method and random factor method is given and the analysis of structural dynamic characteristic for fuzzy stochastic truss structures is presented. Considering the fuzzy randomness of the structural physical parameters and geometric dimensions simultaneously, the structural stiffness and mass matrices axe constructed based on the fuzzy factor method and random factor method; from the Rayleigh＇s quotient of structural vibration, the structural fuzzy random dynamic characteristic is obtained by means of the interval arithmetic; the fuzzy numeric characteristics of dynamic characteristic axe then derived by using the random variable＇s moment function method and algebra synthesis method. Two examples axe used to illustrate the validity and rationality of the method given. The advantage of this method is that the effect of the fuzzy randomness of one of the structural parameters on the fuzzy randomness of the dynamic characteristic can be reflected expediently and objectively.展开更多
To study the effect of uncertain factors on the temperature field of frozen soil, we propose a method to calculate the spatial average variance from just the point variance based on the local average theory of random ...To study the effect of uncertain factors on the temperature field of frozen soil, we propose a method to calculate the spatial average variance from just the point variance based on the local average theory of random fields. We model the heat transfer coefficient and specific heat capacity as spatially random fields instead of traditional random variables. An analysis for calculating the random temperature field of seasonal frozen soil is suggested by the Neumann stochastic finite element method, and here we provide the computational formulae of mathematical expectation, variance and variable coefficient. As shown in the calculation flow chart, the stochastic finite element calculation program for solving the random temperature field, as compiled by Matrix Laboratory （MATLAB） sottware, can directly output the statistical results of the temperature field of frozen soil. An example is presented to demonstrate the random effects from random field parameters, and the feasibility of the proposed approach is proven by compar- ing these results with the results derived when the random parameters are only modeled as random variables. The results show that the Neumann stochastic finite element method can efficiently solve the problem of random temperature fields of frozen soil based on random field theory, and it can reduce the variability of calculation results when the random parameters are modeled as spatial- ly random fields.展开更多
The paper studies the parametric stochastic roll motion in the random waves.The differential equation of the ship parametric roll under random wave is established with considering the nonlinear damping and ship speed....The paper studies the parametric stochastic roll motion in the random waves.The differential equation of the ship parametric roll under random wave is established with considering the nonlinear damping and ship speed.Random sea surface is treated as a narrow-band stochastic process,and the stochastic parametric excitation is studied based on the effective wave theory.The nonlinear restored arm function obtained from the numerical simulation is expressed as the approximate analytic function.By using the stochastic averaging method,the differential equation of motion is transformed into Ito’s stochastic differential equation.The steady-state probability density function of roll motion is obtained,and the results are validated with the numerical simulation and model test.展开更多
The stochastic boundary element method is developed to analyze elasticity problems with random material and/or geometrical parameters and ran- domly perturbed boundaries. Based on the first-order Taylor series expansi...The stochastic boundary element method is developed to analyze elasticity problems with random material and/or geometrical parameters and ran- domly perturbed boundaries. Based on the first-order Taylor series expansion, the boundary integration equations concerning the mean and deviation of the displace- ments are derived, respectively. It is found that the randomness of material param- eters is equivalent to a random body force, so the mean and covariance matrices of unknown boundary displacements and tractions can be obtained. Furthermore, the mean and covariance of displacements and stresses at inner points can also be obtained. Numerical examples show that the proposed stochastic boundary element method gives satisfactory solutions, as compared with those obtained by theoretical analysis or other numerical methods.展开更多
Stochastic heat conduction and thermal stress analysis of structures has received considerable attention in recent years.The propagation of uncertain thermal environments will lead to stochastic variations in temperat...Stochastic heat conduction and thermal stress analysis of structures has received considerable attention in recent years.The propagation of uncertain thermal environments will lead to stochastic variations in temperature fields and thermal stresses.Therefore,it is reasonable to consider the variability of thermal environments while conducting thermal analysis.However,for ambient thermal excitations,only stationary random processes have been investigated thus far.In this study,the highly efficient explicit time-domain method(ETDM)is proposed for the analysis of non-stationary stochastic transient heat conduction and thermal stress problems.The explicit time-domain expressions of thermal responses are first constructed for a thermoelastic body.Then the statistical moments of thermal displacements and stresses can be directly obtained based on the explicit expressions of thermal responses.A numerical example involving non-stationary stochastic internal heat generation rate is investigated.The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method are validated by comparison with the Monte-Carlo simulation.展开更多
This paper develops the mean-square exponential input-to-state stability（exp-ISS） of the Euler-Maruyama（EM） method for stochastic delay control systems（SDCSs）.The definition of mean-square exp-ISS of numerical m...This paper develops the mean-square exponential input-to-state stability（exp-ISS） of the Euler-Maruyama（EM） method for stochastic delay control systems（SDCSs）.The definition of mean-square exp-ISS of numerical methods is established.The conditions of the exact and EM method for an SDCS with the property of mean-square exp-ISS are obtained without involving control Lyapunov functions or functional.Under the global Lipschitz coefficients and mean-square continuous measurable inputs,it is proved that the mean-square exp-ISS of an SDCS holds if and only if that of the EM method is preserved for a sufficiently small step size.The proposed results are evaluated by using numerical experiments to show their effectiveness.展开更多
In this paper, the cubic and quintic diffusion equation under stochastic non homogeneity is solved using Wiener- Hermite expansion and perturbation (WHEP) technique, Homotopy perturbation method (HPM) and Pickard appr...In this paper, the cubic and quintic diffusion equation under stochastic non homogeneity is solved using Wiener- Hermite expansion and perturbation (WHEP) technique, Homotopy perturbation method (HPM) and Pickard approximation technique. The analytic solution of the linear case is obtained using Eigenfunction expansion .The Picard approximation method is used to introduce the first and second order approximate solution for the non linear case. The WHEP technique is also used to obtain approximate solution under different orders and different corrections. The Homotopy perturbation method (HPM) is also used to obtain some approximation orders for mean and variance. Using mathematica-5, the methods of solution are illustrated through figures, comparisons among different methods and some parametric studies.展开更多
The novel aircraft engine-off taxi towing system featuring aircraft power integration has demonstrated significant advantages,including reduced energy consumption,diminished emissions,and enhanced efficiency.However,t...The novel aircraft engine-off taxi towing system featuring aircraft power integration has demonstrated significant advantages,including reduced energy consumption,diminished emissions,and enhanced efficiency.However,the aircraft engine-off taxi towing system lacks the consideration of attendant constraints in the trajectory generation process,which can potentially lead to ground accidents and constrain the improvement of traction speed.Addressing this challenge,the present work investigates the optimal control problem of trajectory generation for the taxiing traction system in the complex stochastic environment in the airport flight area.For the stochastic constraints,a strategy of deterministic processing is proposed to describe the stochastic constraints using random constraints.Furthermore,an adaptive pseudo-spectral method is introduced to transform the optimal control problem into a nonlinear programming problem,enabling its effective resolution.Simulation results substantiate that the generated trajectory can efficiently handle the stochastic constraints and accomplish the given task towards the time-optimization objective,thereby effectively enhancing the stability and efficiency of the taxiing traction system,ensuring the safety of the aircraft system,and improving the ground access capacity and efficiency of the airport.展开更多
Nonlinear stochastic modeling plays a significant role in disciplines such as psychology,finance,physical sciences,engineering,econometrics,and biological sciences.Dynamical consistency,positivity,and boundedness are ...Nonlinear stochastic modeling plays a significant role in disciplines such as psychology,finance,physical sciences,engineering,econometrics,and biological sciences.Dynamical consistency,positivity,and boundedness are fundamental properties of stochastic modeling.A stochastic coronavirus model is studied with techniques of transition probabilities and parametric perturbation.Well-known explicit methods such as Euler Maruyama,stochastic Euler,and stochastic Runge–Kutta are investigated for the stochastic model.Regrettably,the above essential properties are not restored by existing methods.Hence,there is a need to construct essential properties preserving the computational method.The non-standard approach of finite difference is examined to maintain the above basic features of the stochastic model.The comparison of the results of deterministic and stochastic models is also presented.Our proposed efficient computational method well preserves the essential properties of the model.Comparison and convergence analyses of the method are presented.展开更多
In this work, by means of a new more general ansatz and the symbolic computation system Maple, we extend the Riccati equation rational expansion method [Chaos, Solitons ＆ Fractals 25 （2005） 1019] to uniformly const...In this work, by means of a new more general ansatz and the symbolic computation system Maple, we extend the Riccati equation rational expansion method [Chaos, Solitons ＆ Fractals 25 （2005） 1019] to uniformly construct a series of stochastic nontravelling wave solutions for nonlinear stochastic evolution equation. To illustrate the effectiveness of our method, we take the stochastic mKdV equation as an example, and successfully construct some new and more general solutions including a series of rational formal nontraveling wave and coefficient functions＇ soliton-like solution.s and trigonometric-like function solutions. The method can also be applied to solve other nonlinear stochastic evolution equation or equations.展开更多
Owing to the fact that the conventional deterministic back analysis of the permeability coefficient cannot reflect the uncertainties of parameters, including the hydraulic head at the boundary, the permeability coeffi...Owing to the fact that the conventional deterministic back analysis of the permeability coefficient cannot reflect the uncertainties of parameters, including the hydraulic head at the boundary, the permeability coefficient and measured hydraulic head, a stochastic back analysis taking consideration of uncertainties of parameters was performed using the generalized Bayesian method. Based on the stochastic finite element method （SFEM） for a seepage field, the variable metric algorithm and the generalized Bayesian method, formulas for stochastic back analysis of the permeability coefficient were derived. A case study of seepage analysis of a sluice foundation was performed to illustrate the proposed method. The results indicate that, with the generalized Bayesian method that considers the uncertainties of measured hydraulic head, the permeability coefficient and the hydraulic head at the boundary, both the mean and standard deviation of the permeability coefficient can be obtained and the standard deviation is less than that obtained by the conventional Bayesian method. Therefore, the present method is valid and applicable.展开更多
Positive results are proved here about the ability of balanced methods to reproduce the mean square stability of the impulsive stochastic differential equations. It is shown that the balanced methods with strong conve...Positive results are proved here about the ability of balanced methods to reproduce the mean square stability of the impulsive stochastic differential equations. It is shown that the balanced methods with strong convergence can preserve the mean square stability with the sufficiently small stepsize. Weak variants and their mean square stability are also considered. Several numerical experiments are given for illustration and show that the fully implicit methods are superior to those of the explicit methods in terms of mean-square stabilities for relatively large stepsizes especially.展开更多
文摘We developed a modified stochastic finite-fault method for estimating strong ground motions.An adjustment to the dynamic corner frequency was introduced,which accounted for the effect of the location of the subfault relative to the hypocenter and rupture propagation direction,to account for the influence of the rupture propagation direction on the subfault dynamic corner frequency.By comparing the peak ground acceleration(PGA),pseudo-absolute response spectra acceleration(PSA,damping ratio of 5%),and duration,the results of the modified and existing methods were compared,demonstrating that our proposed adjustment to the dynamic corner frequency can accurately reflect the rupture directivity effect.We applied our modified method to simulate near-field strong motions within 150 km of the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake rupture.Our modified method performed well over a broad period range,particularly at 0.04-4 s.The total deviations of the stochastic finite-fault method(EXSIM)and the modified EXSIM were 0.1676 and 0.1494,respectively.The modified method can effectively account for the influence of the rupture propagation direction and provide more realistic ground motion estimations for earthquake disaster mitigation.
基金supported by the Science Foundation of the Institute of Engineering Mechanics,China Earthquake Administration(No.2018B03)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51808514).
文摘The stochastic finite-fault simulation method was applied to synthesize the horizontal ground acceleration seismograms produced by the MW6.1 Ludian earthquake on August 3,2014.For this purpose,we produced first a total of 200 kinematic source models for the Ludian event,which are characterized by the heterogeneous slip on the conjugated ruptured fault and the slip-dependent spreading of the rupture front.The results indicated that the heterogeneous slip and the spatial extent of the ruptured fault play dominant roles in the spatial distribution of ground motions in the near-fault area.The peak ground accelerations(PGAs)and 5%-damped pseudospectral accelerations(PSAs)at periods shorter than 0.5 s estimated on the resulting synthetics generally match well with the observations at stations with Joyner-Boore distances(RJB)greater than 20 km.The synthetic PGVs and PSAs at periods of 0.5 s and 0.75 s are in good agreement with predicted medians by the Yu14 model(Yu et al.,2014).However,the synthetic results are generally much lower than the predicted medians by BSSA14 model(Boore et al.,2014).Moreover,the ground motion variability caused by the randomness in the source rupture process was evaluated by these synthetics.The standard deviations of PSAs on the base-10 logarithmic scale,Sigma[log10(PSA)],are closely dependent on either the spectral period or the RJB.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]remains a constant approximately 0.55 at periods shorter than 0.1 s,and then increase continuously up to^0.13 as the period increases from 0.1 to 2.0 s.The Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods of 0.1‒2.0 s show the downward tendency as the RJB values increase.However,the Sigma[log10(PSA)]values at periods shorter than 0.1 s decrease as the RJB values increase up to^50 km,and then increase with the increasing RJB.Furthermore,we found that the ground-motion variability shows the significant dependence on the azimuth.
基金supported by the Deanship of Scientific Research,Vice Presidency for Graduate Studies and Scientific Research,King Faisal University,Saudi Arabia[KFU250259].
文摘Streptococcus suis(S.suis)is a major disease impacting pig farming globally.It can also be transferred to humans by eating raw pork.A comprehensive study was recently carried out to determine the indices throughmultiple geographic regions in China.Methods:The well-posed theorems were employed to conduct a thorough analysis of the model’s feasible features,including positivity,boundedness equilibria,reproduction number,and parameter sensitivity.Stochastic Euler,Runge Kutta,and EulerMaruyama are some of the numerical techniques used to replicate the behavior of the streptococcus suis infection in the pig population.However,the dynamic qualities of the suggested model cannot be restored using these techniques.Results:For the stochastic delay differential equations of the model,the non-standard finite difference approach in the sense of stochasticity is developed to avoid several problems such as negativity,unboundedness,inconsistency,and instability of the findings.Results from traditional stochastic methods either converge conditionally or diverge over time.The stochastic non-negative step size convergence nonstandard finite difference(NSFD)method unconditionally converges to the model’s true states.Conclusions:This study improves our understanding of the dynamics of streptococcus suis infection using versions of stochastic with delay approaches and opens up new avenues for the study of cognitive processes and neuronal analysis.Theplotted interaction behaviour and new solution comparison profiles.
基金Deanship of Research and Graduate Studies at King Khalid University for funding this work through large Research Project under Grant Number RGP2/302/45supported by the Deanship of Scientific Research,Vice Presidency forGraduate Studies and Scientific Research,King Faisal University,Saudi Arabia(Grant Number A426).
文摘Based on theWorld Health Organization(WHO),Meningitis is a severe infection of the meninges,the membranes covering the brain and spinal cord.It is a devastating disease and remains a significant public health challenge.This study investigates a bacterial meningitis model through deterministic and stochastic versions.Four-compartment population dynamics explain the concept,particularly the susceptible population,carrier,infected,and recovered.The model predicts the nonnegative equilibrium points and reproduction number,i.e.,the Meningitis-Free Equilibrium(MFE),and Meningitis-Existing Equilibrium(MEE).For the stochastic version of the existing deterministicmodel,the twomethodologies studied are transition probabilities and non-parametric perturbations.Also,positivity,boundedness,extinction,and disease persistence are studiedrigorouslywiththe helpofwell-known theorems.Standard and nonstandard techniques such as EulerMaruyama,stochastic Euler,stochastic Runge Kutta,and stochastic nonstandard finite difference in the sense of delay have been presented for computational analysis of the stochastic model.Unfortunately,standard methods fail to restore the biological properties of the model,so the stochastic nonstandard finite difference approximation is offered as an efficient,low-cost,and independent of time step size.In addition,the convergence,local,and global stability around the equilibria of the nonstandard computational method is studied by assuming the perturbation effect is zero.The simulations and comparison of the methods are presented to support the theoretical results and for the best visualization of results.
文摘Proximal gradient descent and its accelerated version are resultful methods for solving the sum of smooth and non-smooth problems. When the smooth function can be represented as a sum of multiple functions, the stochastic proximal gradient method performs well. However, research on its accelerated version remains unclear. This paper proposes a proximal stochastic accelerated gradient (PSAG) method to address problems involving a combination of smooth and non-smooth components, where the smooth part corresponds to the average of multiple block sums. Simultaneously, most of convergence analyses hold in expectation. To this end, under some mind conditions, we present an almost sure convergence of unbiased gradient estimation in the non-smooth setting. Moreover, we establish that the minimum of the squared gradient mapping norm arbitrarily converges to zero with probability one.
文摘The stochastic boundary element method(SBEM)is developed in this paper for 3D problems with body forces and reliability analysis of engineering structures.The integral equations of SBEM are established by the approach of partial derivation with respect to stochastic variables,considering the yield limit,rotation speeds and material density to be the fundamental stochastic variables.Through analyzing a numerical example and a turbo-disk of an aeroengine,the results show that the method developed is successful.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52109010)the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China(Grant No.2021M701047)the China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents(Grant No.BX20200113).
文摘Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China Under Grant No. 50778058 and 90715038National Key Technology R&D Program Under Contract No. 2006BAC13B02
文摘In this paper, three existing source spectral models for stochastic finite-fault modeling of ground motion were reviewed. These three models were used to calculate the far-field received energy at a site from a vertical fault and the mean spectral ratio over 15 stations of the Northridge earthquake, and then compared. From the comparison, a necessary measure was observed to maintain the far-field received energy independent of subfault size and avoid overestimation of the long- period spectra/level. Two improvements were made to one of the three models （i.e., the model based on dynamic comer frequency） as follows： （i） a new method to compute the subfault comer frequency was proposed, where the subfault comer frequency is determined based on a basic value calculated from the total seismic moment of the entire fault and an increment depending on the seismic moment assigned to the subfault; and （ii） the difference of the radiation energy from each suhfault was considered into the scaling factor. The improved model was also compared with the unimproved model through the far-field received energy and the mean spectral ratio. The comparison proves that the improved model allows the received energy to be more independent of subfault size than the unimproved model, and decreases the overestimation degree of the long-period spectral amplitude.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province of China (No,A200214)
文摘A new fuzzy stochastic finite element method based on the fuzzy factor method and random factor method is given and the analysis of structural dynamic characteristic for fuzzy stochastic truss structures is presented. Considering the fuzzy randomness of the structural physical parameters and geometric dimensions simultaneously, the structural stiffness and mass matrices axe constructed based on the fuzzy factor method and random factor method; from the Rayleigh＇s quotient of structural vibration, the structural fuzzy random dynamic characteristic is obtained by means of the interval arithmetic; the fuzzy numeric characteristics of dynamic characteristic axe then derived by using the random variable＇s moment function method and algebra synthesis method. Two examples axe used to illustrate the validity and rationality of the method given. The advantage of this method is that the effect of the fuzzy randomness of one of the structural parameters on the fuzzy randomness of the dynamic characteristic can be reflected expediently and objectively.
基金funded by the National Basic Research Program of China (No. 2012CB026103)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (No. 2012AA06A401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41271096)
文摘To study the effect of uncertain factors on the temperature field of frozen soil, we propose a method to calculate the spatial average variance from just the point variance based on the local average theory of random fields. We model the heat transfer coefficient and specific heat capacity as spatially random fields instead of traditional random variables. An analysis for calculating the random temperature field of seasonal frozen soil is suggested by the Neumann stochastic finite element method, and here we provide the computational formulae of mathematical expectation, variance and variable coefficient. As shown in the calculation flow chart, the stochastic finite element calculation program for solving the random temperature field, as compiled by Matrix Laboratory （MATLAB） sottware, can directly output the statistical results of the temperature field of frozen soil. An example is presented to demonstrate the random effects from random field parameters, and the feasibility of the proposed approach is proven by compar- ing these results with the results derived when the random parameters are only modeled as random variables. The results show that the Neumann stochastic finite element method can efficiently solve the problem of random temperature fields of frozen soil based on random field theory, and it can reduce the variability of calculation results when the random parameters are modeled as spatial- ly random fields.
基金the State Administration of Science,Technology and Industry for National Defense of China(Grant No.B2420132001).
文摘The paper studies the parametric stochastic roll motion in the random waves.The differential equation of the ship parametric roll under random wave is established with considering the nonlinear damping and ship speed.Random sea surface is treated as a narrow-band stochastic process,and the stochastic parametric excitation is studied based on the effective wave theory.The nonlinear restored arm function obtained from the numerical simulation is expressed as the approximate analytic function.By using the stochastic averaging method,the differential equation of motion is transformed into Ito’s stochastic differential equation.The steady-state probability density function of roll motion is obtained,and the results are validated with the numerical simulation and model test.
文摘The stochastic boundary element method is developed to analyze elasticity problems with random material and/or geometrical parameters and ran- domly perturbed boundaries. Based on the first-order Taylor series expansion, the boundary integration equations concerning the mean and deviation of the displace- ments are derived, respectively. It is found that the randomness of material param- eters is equivalent to a random body force, so the mean and covariance matrices of unknown boundary displacements and tractions can be obtained. Furthermore, the mean and covariance of displacements and stresses at inner points can also be obtained. Numerical examples show that the proposed stochastic boundary element method gives satisfactory solutions, as compared with those obtained by theoretical analysis or other numerical methods.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51678252)the Guangzhou Science and Technology Project (201804020069)
文摘Stochastic heat conduction and thermal stress analysis of structures has received considerable attention in recent years.The propagation of uncertain thermal environments will lead to stochastic variations in temperature fields and thermal stresses.Therefore,it is reasonable to consider the variability of thermal environments while conducting thermal analysis.However,for ambient thermal excitations,only stationary random processes have been investigated thus far.In this study,the highly efficient explicit time-domain method(ETDM)is proposed for the analysis of non-stationary stochastic transient heat conduction and thermal stress problems.The explicit time-domain expressions of thermal responses are first constructed for a thermoelastic body.Then the statistical moments of thermal displacements and stresses can be directly obtained based on the explicit expressions of thermal responses.A numerical example involving non-stationary stochastic internal heat generation rate is investigated.The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method are validated by comparison with the Monte-Carlo simulation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(6127312660904032)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province(10251064101000008)
文摘This paper develops the mean-square exponential input-to-state stability（exp-ISS） of the Euler-Maruyama（EM） method for stochastic delay control systems（SDCSs）.The definition of mean-square exp-ISS of numerical methods is established.The conditions of the exact and EM method for an SDCS with the property of mean-square exp-ISS are obtained without involving control Lyapunov functions or functional.Under the global Lipschitz coefficients and mean-square continuous measurable inputs,it is proved that the mean-square exp-ISS of an SDCS holds if and only if that of the EM method is preserved for a sufficiently small step size.The proposed results are evaluated by using numerical experiments to show their effectiveness.
文摘In this paper, the cubic and quintic diffusion equation under stochastic non homogeneity is solved using Wiener- Hermite expansion and perturbation (WHEP) technique, Homotopy perturbation method (HPM) and Pickard approximation technique. The analytic solution of the linear case is obtained using Eigenfunction expansion .The Picard approximation method is used to introduce the first and second order approximate solution for the non linear case. The WHEP technique is also used to obtain approximate solution under different orders and different corrections. The Homotopy perturbation method (HPM) is also used to obtain some approximation orders for mean and variance. Using mathematica-5, the methods of solution are illustrated through figures, comparisons among different methods and some parametric studies.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.3122024QD06)。
文摘The novel aircraft engine-off taxi towing system featuring aircraft power integration has demonstrated significant advantages,including reduced energy consumption,diminished emissions,and enhanced efficiency.However,the aircraft engine-off taxi towing system lacks the consideration of attendant constraints in the trajectory generation process,which can potentially lead to ground accidents and constrain the improvement of traction speed.Addressing this challenge,the present work investigates the optimal control problem of trajectory generation for the taxiing traction system in the complex stochastic environment in the airport flight area.For the stochastic constraints,a strategy of deterministic processing is proposed to describe the stochastic constraints using random constraints.Furthermore,an adaptive pseudo-spectral method is introduced to transform the optimal control problem into a nonlinear programming problem,enabling its effective resolution.Simulation results substantiate that the generated trajectory can efficiently handle the stochastic constraints and accomplish the given task towards the time-optimization objective,thereby effectively enhancing the stability and efficiency of the taxiing traction system,ensuring the safety of the aircraft system,and improving the ground access capacity and efficiency of the airport.
基金the Research and initiative center COVID-19-DES-2020-65,Prince Sultan University.
文摘Nonlinear stochastic modeling plays a significant role in disciplines such as psychology,finance,physical sciences,engineering,econometrics,and biological sciences.Dynamical consistency,positivity,and boundedness are fundamental properties of stochastic modeling.A stochastic coronavirus model is studied with techniques of transition probabilities and parametric perturbation.Well-known explicit methods such as Euler Maruyama,stochastic Euler,and stochastic Runge–Kutta are investigated for the stochastic model.Regrettably,the above essential properties are not restored by existing methods.Hence,there is a need to construct essential properties preserving the computational method.The non-standard approach of finite difference is examined to maintain the above basic features of the stochastic model.The comparison of the results of deterministic and stochastic models is also presented.Our proposed efficient computational method well preserves the essential properties of the model.Comparison and convergence analyses of the method are presented.
基金The author would like to thank the referees very much for their careful reading of the manuscript and many valuable suggestions.
文摘In this work, by means of a new more general ansatz and the symbolic computation system Maple, we extend the Riccati equation rational expansion method [Chaos, Solitons ＆ Fractals 25 （2005） 1019] to uniformly construct a series of stochastic nontravelling wave solutions for nonlinear stochastic evolution equation. To illustrate the effectiveness of our method, we take the stochastic mKdV equation as an example, and successfully construct some new and more general solutions including a series of rational formal nontraveling wave and coefficient functions＇ soliton-like solution.s and trigonometric-like function solutions. The method can also be applied to solve other nonlinear stochastic evolution equation or equations.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50579090)the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program, Grant No. 2007CB714102)National Science and Technology Support Program of China (Program for the Eleventh Five-Year Plan, Grant No. 2006BAB04A06)
文摘Owing to the fact that the conventional deterministic back analysis of the permeability coefficient cannot reflect the uncertainties of parameters, including the hydraulic head at the boundary, the permeability coefficient and measured hydraulic head, a stochastic back analysis taking consideration of uncertainties of parameters was performed using the generalized Bayesian method. Based on the stochastic finite element method （SFEM） for a seepage field, the variable metric algorithm and the generalized Bayesian method, formulas for stochastic back analysis of the permeability coefficient were derived. A case study of seepage analysis of a sluice foundation was performed to illustrate the proposed method. The results indicate that, with the generalized Bayesian method that considers the uncertainties of measured hydraulic head, the permeability coefficient and the hydraulic head at the boundary, both the mean and standard deviation of the permeability coefficient can be obtained and the standard deviation is less than that obtained by the conventional Bayesian method. Therefore, the present method is valid and applicable.
基金National Natural Science Foundations of China(Nos.11561028,11101101,11461032,11401267)Natural Science Foundations of Jiangxi Province,China(Nos.20151BAB201013,20151BAB201010,20151BAB201015)
文摘Positive results are proved here about the ability of balanced methods to reproduce the mean square stability of the impulsive stochastic differential equations. It is shown that the balanced methods with strong convergence can preserve the mean square stability with the sufficiently small stepsize. Weak variants and their mean square stability are also considered. Several numerical experiments are given for illustration and show that the fully implicit methods are superior to those of the explicit methods in terms of mean-square stabilities for relatively large stepsizes especially.
