Forest fire accidents caused by distribution line faults occur frequently,resulting in heavy impacts on people’s safety and social and economic development.Currently,there are few risk assessments for forest fires in...Forest fire accidents caused by distribution line faults occur frequently,resulting in heavy impacts on people’s safety and social and economic development.Currently,there are few risk assessments for forest fires induced by over-head distribution lines,and existing assessment methods may have difficulties in data acquisition.On this basis,a novel as-sessment framework based on an analytic hierarchy process,a Bayesian network and a Fussel-Vesely importance metric is proposed in this paper.The framework combines field research and historical operation and maintenance data to assess the regional-scale risk of forest fires induced by overhead distribution lines to derive the probability of forest fires and to identify high-risk lines and key hazard events in the assessment region.Finally,taking the southern Anhui region as an ex-ample,the annual fire probability of forest fires induced by overhead distribution lines in the southern Anhui region is 5.88%,and rectification measures are proposed.This study provides management with a complete assessment framework that optimizes the difficulty of data collection and allows for additional targeted corrective measures to be proposed for the entire region and route on the basis of the assessment results.展开更多
The corrosion behavior and life of Sn−3.0Ag−0.5Cu solder joints were investigated through fire smoke exposure experiments within the temperature range of 45−80℃.The nonlinear Wiener process and Arrhenius equation wer...The corrosion behavior and life of Sn−3.0Ag−0.5Cu solder joints were investigated through fire smoke exposure experiments within the temperature range of 45−80℃.The nonlinear Wiener process and Arrhenius equation were used to establish the probability distribution function and prediction model of the solder joint’s average life and individual remaining useful life.The results indicate that solder joint resistance shows a nonlinear growth trend with time increasing.After 24 h,the solder joint transforms from spherical to rose-like shapes.Higher temperatures accelerate solder joint failure,and the relationship between failure time and temperature conforms to the Arrhenius equation.The predicted life of the model is in good agreement with experimental results,demonstrating the effectiveness and accuracy of the model.展开更多
基金This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFC3003101)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(WK2320000050)the Science and Technology Program of State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co.,Ltd.(521205220001).
文摘Forest fire accidents caused by distribution line faults occur frequently,resulting in heavy impacts on people’s safety and social and economic development.Currently,there are few risk assessments for forest fires induced by over-head distribution lines,and existing assessment methods may have difficulties in data acquisition.On this basis,a novel as-sessment framework based on an analytic hierarchy process,a Bayesian network and a Fussel-Vesely importance metric is proposed in this paper.The framework combines field research and historical operation and maintenance data to assess the regional-scale risk of forest fires induced by overhead distribution lines to derive the probability of forest fires and to identify high-risk lines and key hazard events in the assessment region.Finally,taking the southern Anhui region as an ex-ample,the annual fire probability of forest fires induced by overhead distribution lines in the southern Anhui region is 5.88%,and rectification measures are proposed.This study provides management with a complete assessment framework that optimizes the difficulty of data collection and allows for additional targeted corrective measures to be proposed for the entire region and route on the basis of the assessment results.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 52206180)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China (No. WK2320000050)。
文摘The corrosion behavior and life of Sn−3.0Ag−0.5Cu solder joints were investigated through fire smoke exposure experiments within the temperature range of 45−80℃.The nonlinear Wiener process and Arrhenius equation were used to establish the probability distribution function and prediction model of the solder joint’s average life and individual remaining useful life.The results indicate that solder joint resistance shows a nonlinear growth trend with time increasing.After 24 h,the solder joint transforms from spherical to rose-like shapes.Higher temperatures accelerate solder joint failure,and the relationship between failure time and temperature conforms to the Arrhenius equation.The predicted life of the model is in good agreement with experimental results,demonstrating the effectiveness and accuracy of the model.
